Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Prince George-Valemount

Prediction Changed
2017-04-07 06:22:16

Constituency Profile



Bond, Shirley

Fletcher, Natalie

Kendy, Nan

Prince George-Valemount
Hon. Shirley Bond

Population (2014):48267
Deviation from average:-9.10%
Geographical Area:31467 sq km
2013 Election Result
Prince George-Valemount
Shirley Bond*
Sherry Ogasawara
Nathan Giede
Donald A Roberts
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


22/04/2017 David
Driving around Prince George, there is a distinct lack of NDP signage in the PG-V riding. The NDP have even erected some of their scarce signs in the wrong riding (complicated riding boundaries) The NDP candidate, Fletcher, is somewhat of a 'no name' and her low profile will cost the NDP dearly.
The neighbouring PG-M riding, has a much better balance of Liberal and NDP signage. Deepak is a more experienced NDP candidate, but the end result is that Bond and Morris, the Liberal candidates, will both win handily.
20/04/2017 Laurence Putnam
Previous posters have all correctly identified Ms. Bond's personal popularity as a key factor. Like Bill Bennett previously in Kootenay East, and in much naturally friendlier BC Liberal territory, Bond is rock solid in PG-V for as long as she wants to continue. Even in the event of a Social Credit style wipeout, I would look to this seat as one of the survivors of any such calamity as long as Bond was seeking re-election.
12/04/2017 David
The incumbent Liberal candidate, Shirley Bond has a lock on this riding. Without question, Shirley is the hardest working MLA in the entire Province and is admired by all sides of the political spectrum.
Shirley and her dedicated team, have their election signs in place, and the NDP parachute candidate is scrambling to catch up.
04/04/2017 wombats
I cannot believe this is still too close to call. Shirley Bond is a lock because of all she does for the riding. Even non liberals like Shirley.
17 03 11 T.C.
The last time BC NDP won a Prince George area riding was 21 years ago back in 1996. Back then, the BC NDP was pro-resource development. Since then and especially since the 2013 election with the ?Kinder Morgan Surprise?, the BC NDP has moved to more of an anti-resource development, anti-fossil fuel/climate change stance. This stance seems geared toward SW BC voters - not interior BC voters who are mostly resource dependent.
Prince George is the hub/service centre of northern central interior BC - forestry, mining, proposed natural gas pipelines to LNG terminals on the NW BC coast, etc., and the BC Liberals hold pro-resource development stances.
The BC Liberal incumbent won by a 21% margin in 2013. In addition, the BCCP received 5.6% here in 2013, which likely will flow to the BC Liberals as the BCCP is leaderless, insolvent, involved with in-fighting, and has no candidates nominated. Safe BC Liberal seat in 2017 esp. with Shirley Bond as incumbent.
17 03 07 South Islander
Given that experienced cabinet minister Shirley Bond held this riding by over 21% in 2013, I can't see her losing this time unless the BC Liberals completely collapse.
17 01 14 Jack Cox
Prince George is a more favourable region for the NDP but the last time they won either of these seats they formed the Government and current polling suggests they have improved a tiny bit from last time but it's not enough to win this seat. This is a less Conservative seat then the Mackenzie riding next door but this is Shirley Bond's seat

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