Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Richmond Park


Prediction Changed
2017-06-07 21:31:44
 

Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Goldsmith, Zac
Jewell, Peter
Olney, Sarah
Tuitt, Cate

Incumbent:
 Sarah Olney

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
71.31 % vs. 28.69 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Goldsmith, Zac*
3440458.2%
Meltzer, Robin
1138919.3%
Patel, Sachin
729612.3%
Frieze, Andree
35486.0%
Naz, Sam
24644.2%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Goldsmith, Z.
2946149.7%
Kramer, S.V. Ms.*
2537042.8%
Tunnicliffe, E. Ms.
29795.0%
Dul, P.J.
6691.1%
Page, J.R.
5721.0%
May, S.J. Ms.
133 .2%
Hill, C.
84 .1%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
4709
20155
23751
Other2271


  

07/06/2017 A
70.35.100.50
The Lib Dem campaign hasnt gotten a whole lot of traction, and considering the GE result last time, I think Goldsmith is well positioned to retake this
 30/04/2017 J.F. Breton
184.163.177.18
With 71% to remain in 2016 EU Referendum, with the pro-Eur status of Lib-Dems, I think they will hold this one.
 27/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
This is interesting, the Tories won the last election with 39% here but then Zac Goldsmith resigned and ran in a by-election and lost to the Lib Dems by a major margin. I think the Tories take this back as that may have been a fluke result.
 25/04/2017 BBC News
212.58.244.23
Zac Goldsmith seeking re-election as Conservative MP
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-39713104
 23/04/2017 EPP
99.230.50.38
The by-election is likely a one time phenomenon.

Navigate to UK 2017 Home | Greater London Index | Submission

United Kingdom General Election - 2017
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2017 - Email Webmaster