| |
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Alcroft, Ruth |  |
Mills, Fiona |  |
Stevenson, John |  |
Thornton, Peter |
Incumbent: |
 |
John Stevenson |
2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave) | 39.36 % vs. 60.64 % (Est.)
| | 2015 Election Result |
| |  |
Stevenson, John* |
| 18873 | 44.3% |
|  |
Sherriff, Lee |
| 16099 | 37.8% |
|  |
Mills, Fiona |
| 5277 | 12.4% |
|  |
Davison, Helen |
| 1125 | 2.6% |
|  |
Birchall, Loraine |
| 1087 | 2.6% |
|  |
Okam, Alfred |
| 126 | .3% |
| 2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction) |
| |  |
Stevenson, A.J. |
| 16589 | 39.3% |
|  |
Boaden, M.W. |
| 15736 | 37.3% |
|  |
Hughes, N. |
| 6567 | 15.6% |
|  |
Stafford, P.B. |
| 1086 | 2.6% |
|  |
Owen, M.J. |
| 969 | 2.3% |
|  |
Reardon, J.B. |
| 614 | 1.5% |
|  |
Metcalfe, J. |
| 376 | .9% |
|  |
Howe, P.P. |
| 263 | .6% |
| 2005 Election Result (transposed) |
| |  | 17803 |
|  | 13350 |
|  | 5915 |
| Other | 1133 |
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 | 13/05/2017 |
V.F. 104.16.121.223 |
| Carlisle would be a swing seat in a different year, given its long Labour history (but never solidly). Given current political climate, this will stay Conservative. |
 | 26/04/2017 |
Jack Cox 24.212.227.58 |
| 7 percent Tory win here last time. They'll win it much more comfortably this time. |
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