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References:
Population (2016): Population (2011):Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density |
81639 8150140419 37628 2545.71 km² 32.1/km² |
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
|
 | Denis Lemieux |
13619 | 31.10% |
 | Dany Morin ** |
13019 | 29.70% |
 | Élise Gauthier |
8990 | 20.50% |
 | Caroline Ste-Marie |
7270 | 16.60% |
 | Dany St-Gelais |
907 | 2.10% |
2011 Results (redistributed)
|
 | |
11016 | 25.56% |
 | |
16237 | 37.68% |
 | |
2480 | 5.75% |
 | |
12418 | 28.81% |
 | |
655 | 1.52% |
Other | |
288 | 0.67%% |
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
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Chicoutimi-Le Fjord
(100% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
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 | 17/10/19 |
Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188 |
The Bloc didn't perform well here during the by-election even by pre surge standards. I think Martel will keep the seat Conservative. |
 | 14/10/19 |
Dr. Bear 174.93.149.76 |
With a resurgence BQ, nothing in the Saguenay region is going to be safe for any federalist party. Remember Quebecers like to vote Tout Ensemble and its starting to look like a BQ year. |
 | 02/10/19 |
R.O. 24.146.17.200 |
Was a surprise cpc by election pick up when Richard Martell first elected in 2018, he should be able to hold the riding but Bloc Quebecois will likely do better. |
 | 07/09/19 |
A.S. 99.225.32.21 |
Some byelection victors turn out to be one-election wonders; others presage more of a permanency--I suspect this is in the latter category. Or at least, Martel would have to enact an Andre Harvey party-switch in order for this to leave Conservative hands. |
 | 16/07/19 |
Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70 |
Despite its intermittent history as a Conservative riding since the 80's, and a Creditiste riding decades earlier, it's not exactly a safe seat for the Tories, although it should remain winnable as long as Martel sticks around. |
 | 13/04/19 |
OttawaGuy94 184.146.168.170 |
Martel's personal popularity was enough for the Conservatives to win this seat largely when they were barely straddling 30% nationwide, he should be able to hold again. |
 | 08/03/19 |
Sam 86.28.79.130 |
A standout good result for the Conservatives in the previous by-election, and judging by the scale of it they can probably hold this as Richard Martel has a huge personal vote; he won many Bloc voters last time. He may not win a plurality again but the Conservatives have the edge and momentum here. |
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