Brault, François-Noël
	Daigle, Ghislain
	Fontaine, Marc
	Gourde, Jacques
	Kerr, Patrick
	Marchand, Christel
Incumbent:
	Jacques Gourde

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			113528 107593 47364 45445 2066.29 km² 54.9/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Jacques Gourde **	31357	50.10%
	Claude Boucher	13562	21.70%
	Hélène Bilodeau	9246	14.80%
	Steve Gagné	7163	11.40%
	Tina Biello	1124	1.80%
	François Belanger	136	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		22469	39.88%
		21688	38.49%
		2867	5.09%
		8383	14.88%
		936	1.66%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Lotbinière-Chutes-de-la-Chaudière    (99.97% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Mégantic-L'Érable    (0.03% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	18/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
A CPC riding since 2006, I think Gourde will hold on here and win a 5th term in office.
	30/09/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
Jacques Gorde has been mp for a while , only real challenge was in 2011 when the ndp surged in Quebec. He should be able to hold this rural Quebec riding.
	07/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Here, too, absolute majority in '15 likely = Con re-election in '19, even if Gourde's not as high-profile as Blaney and even if he came closer to being an Orange Crush victim in '11. For perspective's sake, outside the Ile de Montreal (+ Brossard) and the Outaouais, no other party got an absolute majority in any riding in QC. None other than Cons (including Bernier) in proximity to the Capitale-Nationale.
	24/07/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
Through succeeding decades, this has been grassroots Diefenbaker, Union Nationale, Creditiste, Mulroney Coaltion, ADQ & Harper soft nationalist small ‘c’ conservative territory. Scheer can win over easily with the aide of a popular local incumbent. This is one of those rare Quebec ridings that will pretty much vote for any right wing option on the ballot that's even halfway viable. Gourde will win easily.
	06/04/19	Legolas 109.70.100.19
As with the other suburban Quebec City seats, the Conservatives won them by decent margins in 2015 and there is no way they are losing them while polling even better for this election.
	06/04/19	Sam 86.188.96.179
This area of Quebec is now reliably Conservative, and it should stay that way. No other party can really appeal to the demographics here.
	25/02/19	J.F. Breton 135.19.103.179
Jacques Gourde is really not in danger. Easy win for the Conservatives in Chaudière-Appalaches.