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References:
Population (2016): Population (2011):Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density |
111190 10824448854 47276 686.33 km² 162.0/km² |
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
|
| Jean Rioux |
20022 | 33.20% |
| Hans Marotte |
17555 | 29.10% |
| Denis Hurtubise |
14979 | 24.80% |
| Stéphane Guinta |
6549 | 10.80% |
| Marilyn Redivo |
1281 | 2.10% |
2011 Results (redistributed)
|
| |
5603 | 10.66% |
| |
24943 | 47.48% |
| |
4644 | 8.84% |
| |
16023 | 30.50% |
| |
1326 | 2.52% |
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
|
Saint-Jean
(100% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
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| 19/10/19 |
Tony Ducey 71.7.242.216 |
This former Bloc stronghold will return to the Bloc fold in 2019. |
| 17/10/19 |
J.F. Breton 207.253.54.66 |
Selon le plus récent sondage Léger, les Libéraux et Bloquistes sont au coude-à-coude au Québec à 31%. À lextérieur de Montréal, linfluence du Bloc se fait le plus sentir : le parti est largement en avance en Montérégie (39 %), dans Lanaudière/Laurentides (45 %) et dans le Centre-du-Québec (36 %). De très fortes chances que Saint-Jean bascule du côté du Bloc. |
| 12/10/19 |
Daniel Beaudin 70.24.240.248 |
Truer words were never spoken A.S. According to TCTC, Bloc is at 38% while Liberals are at 27%. Insurmountable for JT and crowd. |
| 04/09/19 |
A.S. 99.225.32.21 |
This has tended to be the Quebec version of a bellwether--and while 2015's just under a third of the vote may look unpromising for the Libs, so does just under a quarter of the vote for the Bloc. (Though vote-poaching from a controversial NPD candidate might explain the latter case--somehow, it seems that whatever motivated *that* vote to be plumped might as well boomerang back to the Bloc. But in that case, we might as well be seeing their seat totals doubling, tripling, and beyond.) |
| 24/07/19 |
seasaw 99.225.244.232 |
Liberal hold. The NDP has totally collapsed, Bloc may become competitive but not enough to win. |
| 08/03/19 |
Sam 86.28.79.130 |
Although the Liberals won a very low share of the vote last time they still win substantially, and given that the NDP are shedding votes they would have to mostly go to the Bloc to win this. With the Liberals doing well in Quebec they have a definite edge here but a Bloc win should not yet be ruled out. |
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