Blair, Bill
	Cain, Amanda
	Eratostene, Italo
	Fawcett Smith, Kimberly
	Luisi, Simon
	McCrady, Keith
Incumbent:
	Bill Blair

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			110278 106733 43158 41451 27.96 km² 3944.8/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Bill Blair	25586	52.50%
	Dan Harris **	11574	23.70%
	Roshan Nallaratnam	10347	21.20%
	Tommy Taylor	1259	2.60%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		12474	31.68%
		13730	34.87%
		11554	29.34%
		1601	4.07%
Other		20	0.05%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Scarborough Southwest    (93.49% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Scarborough-Guildwood    (6.51% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Doly Begum	19835	45.66%
	Gary Ellis	13565	31.22%
	Lorenzo Berardinetti *	8228	18.94%
	David Del Grande	1174	2.7%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		18123	49.93%
		7611	20.97%
		8555	23.57%
		1476	4.07%
Other		530	1.46%

	20/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
Blair's name value and cabinet spot plus this is Scarborough should equal a Liberal win tomorrow.
	15/10/19	Mark 99.239.105.89
As much as I hate to see the Liberals stay in power I don't mind Bill Blair much as a candidate on an individual level, which is good because he has this one all sewn up. The Conservatives will be beaten by Blair's higher profile and the fact he is the incumbent. The NDP had a great provincial win here but don't stand a chance in this one, their organization is never the best but in this riding they are an absolute fiasco. This doesn't just mean they'll be a distant third, it also means they won't even peel away enough votes from the Liberals to help the Conservatives make a dent. About as close to a guaranteed Liberal hold as you'll find in Ontario.
	22/09/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
Despite talk on here of it not being competitive , the Toronto Sun lists the riding as one of 4 hot races to watch in the city in an article published today. the other 3 ridings being Davenport , Parkdale High Park and Etobicoke Lakeshore. Bill Blair was not interviewed for the article however cpc candidate Kimberly Fawcett was.
	05/08/20	A.S. 99.225.32.21
It's not a matter of 'waterfront' Scarborough favouring the Libs, but of 'non-Chinese' Scarborough (i.e. largely S of the 401)--in fact, SSW was Scarborough's *weakest* seat for the provincial Libs last year (and with an incumbent, yet!), largely due to the victorious NDP soaking up all of their energy. Federally, it looks more like a reprise of 2015's Blair blaah with NDP and CPC soaking up each other's energy.
	22/07/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
Bill Blair has this all locked up. Almost impossible to compete with his name recognition and the Trudeau agenda will have been more or less fairly popular with the majority of the electorate here.
	28/06/19	Craig 130.18.104.137
Safe Liberal. Bill Blair may not be very popular in rural or western Canada due to the ban on semi-automatics and musings of a ban on handguns. Ironically, the fact he didn't go all-in on a handgun ban may hurt him some here, along with the G-20 controversies. Scarborough Southwest is the most urban of the Scarborough ridings (particularly south of Eglinton Avenue), rejecting the Fords when the rest of the former city largely embraced them. Despite Blair's shortcomings, the NDP weakness and high profile keeps him locked in and secure here, while the Conservatives will likely finish a distant second in the low to mid-20s. It's surprising in a way that Tom Wappel was the MP here for so long, since he would much more likely be a Conservative - and unelectable here - today.
	22/04/19	Sam 86.152.231.91
Bill Blair will hold on here, as all of waterfront Scarborough favours the Liberals and this is the most waterfront of all the Scarborough ridings. The NDP are the main threat and they only won narrowly at their 2011 high point.
	06/04/19	Legolas 109.70.100.19
Like Etobicoke-Lakeshore on the west-end, Scarborough Southwest has slowly began to take a more downtown-y seat and I would say it's closer to being like Beaches-East York or Parkdale than the rest of Scarborough in its voting patterns. If Jagmeet can revive the NDP they can be competitive here, but other than that I say this is Blair's to lose.
	24/02/19	M. Lunn 174.7.100.252
While Bill Blair maybe controversial with some (G20 protestors on the left whom dislike his hard police tactics and gun lobbyist on the right who fear he will ban handguns and semi-automatics) he is a good fight in this lower middle income suburban liberal leaning riding where people like law and order candidates.