Bleiken, Shandi
	Bronson, Amy
	Harder, Rachael
	Hepworth, Grant
	Slingerland, Marc
	Watson, Stephnie
Incumbent:
	Rachael Harder

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			117394 105999 48317 45696 2975.08 km² 39.5/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Rachael Harder	32321	56.80%
	Cheryl Meheden	11674	20.50%
	Mike Pyne	10532	18.50%
	Kas MacMillan	1461	2.60%
	Geoffrey Capp	746	1.30%
	Solly Krygier-Paine	209	0.40%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		21618	52.52%
		12329	29.95%
		3759	9.13%
		1845	4.48%
Other		1614	3.92%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Lethbridge    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	13/10/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
Rachael Harder was first elected in 2015 , riding includes city of Lethbridge so not entirely rural . likely to stay conservative this year as cpc ahead in Alberta .
	16/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
2015, I can understand; but if anyone outside this site still thinks Lethbridge is vulnerable in 2019, they're either projecting too much of Shannon Phillips' provincial endurance into federal results, or being too riled up by Rachael Harder's pro-life social conservatism (that is, she may be more visible and active than Jim Hillyer, but not necessarily in a *good* way, at least not if you're a Shannon Phillips diehard).
	19/07/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
Provincially this area has had a tendency to throw a curveball and maybe some day that will start to translate federally, but this riding is too big for the small urbanized areas to have much affect, and that would have to be in an election that was fairly good for the Liberals in Alberta anyway. This won't be. Also, Rachel Harder has become fairly popular in her own right.
	19/04/19	Sam 86.139.31.5
It seems as if some people outside this site think this one of the more vulnerable Conservative ridings. Perhaps that's because it's the most vulnerable Conservative riding in non-metropolitan Alberta, but that's exactly the point, the Conservatives aren't going to be losing in rural Alberta.
	12/03/19	Stevo 165.225.76.109
At some point in the future, maybe 10-15-years from now, as Alberta eventually adds more seats in future redistricting and this riding contracts into urban Lethbridge without the surrounding rural/exurbian expanse, and the Liberals or NDP acquire a leader not hostile to the resource industry, this will be a swing riding. Until that time, this stays CPC blue in a walk.
	26/02/19	Craig 130.18.104.137
While the Liberals might do okay in the city of Lethbridge, the Conservatives will still probably win most urban polls. Outside city limits, the CPC will likely get 90% or more of the vote (unless the PPC or a separatist can undercut them). It won't be the extreme blowout of the rural ridings, but it should still be a runaway win for the Conservatives. It is Alberta, after all...
	23/02/19	M. Lunn 174.7.100.252
Although this includes Lethbridge which has a large university, the surrounding areas including many Mormon towns where the Tories often top 90% so they should easily hold this. Also Rachel Harder unlike their previous MP Jim Hillyer has been quite visible and active so that should work in her favour. In addition with the anger towards the Liberals and NDP over pipelines, only a few central Calgary and central Edmonton ones might be competitive, outside the two cities solid Tory.