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Madawaska-Restigouche
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-06-03 11:18:35
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Arseneault, René

Beaulieu, Shawn

Berube, Louis

Blaevoet, Rebecca

MacDonald, Elizabeth

Mercier, Nancy


Incumbent:

René Arseneault

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

60378
62540

29362
27037

11700.98 km²
5.20/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

René Arseneault ** 1733150.30%
Nelson Fox 980128.40%
Louis Bérubé 512514.90%
Chad Betteridge 22126.40%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

René Arseneault 2077855.70%
Rosaire L'Italien 967025.90%
Bernard Valcourt ** 615116.50%
Françoise Aubin 7071.90%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1454140.48%
694919.34%
1249734.79%
6451.80%
Other 12903.59%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Madawaska-Restigouche
   (97.71% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Miramichi
   (2.29% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


19/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
A repeat Liberal majority in '19 after '15, while the Cons recovered 2nd place status after Bernard Valcourt's earlier catastrophic incumbent performance--and that was still a pretty distant 2nd, even if they swept all but one poll along the Saint John River from Riviere-Verte southward. As always, the notoriously electorally-contrarian Saint-Quentin settlement is to be monitored--in '15, it went NDP, in '19, it went...Green.
30/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Bastion libéral en terre acadienne, peu de risque pour le candidat sortant.



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