Ayala, Paulina
	Croteau, Guy
	Deltorto-Russell, Bianca
	Le Seigle, Yves
	Lévesque-Marin, Charlotte
	Miranda, Lucilia
	Rodriguez, Pablo
Incumbent:
	Pablo Rodriguez

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			103592 102587 42888 41529 37.92 km² 2732.10/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Pablo Rodriguez **	29543	58.70%
	Jacques Binet	9979	19.80%
	Guy Croteau	4808	9.50%
	Chu Anh Pham	4130	8.20%
	Domenico Cusmano	1373	2.70%
	Patrick St-Onge	459	0.90%
	Yves Le Seigle	71	0.10%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Pablo Rodriguez	29211	56.50%
	Paulina Ayala **	8478	16.40%
	Audrey Beauséjour	6680	12.90%
	Guy Croteau	6226	12.10%
	Angela Budilean	814	1.60%
	Dayana Dejean	168	0.30%
	Yves Le Seigle	81	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		5857	13.01%
		15856	35.22%
		15083	33.50%
		7205	16.00%
		726	1.61%
Other		297	0.66%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Honoré-Mercier    (89.65% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Bourassa    (10.35% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	15/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
It's only a matter of small differences, but Rodriguez had the 2nd best Lib vote in Montreal in '19. Only Mulroney/Bouchard/Layton-scale waves are enough to take this one down.
	09/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
Comme beaucoup de circonscription à Montréal, celle-ci est rouge foncée, particulièrement dans les secteurs plus à l'est qui comportent des communautés ethniques bien implantées. Pablo Rodriguez n'aura aucun mal à se faire réélire.