Francis, Ann
	Gray, Jonathan
	Kona-Mancini, Milan
	Lassy, Afia
	Lebeuf, Rémi
	Scarpaleggia, Francis
Incumbent:
	Francis Scarpaleggia

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			108579 108795 40778 39370 78.38 km² 1385.20/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Francis Scarpaleggia **	34622	58.20%
	Ann Francis	9083	15.30%
	Dana Chevalier	7263	12.20%
	Milan Kona-Mancini	4176	7.00%
	Julie Beno	3169	5.30%
	Gary Charles	805	1.40%
	Victoria de Martigny	379	0.60%
	Ralston Coelho	28	0.00%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Francis Scarpaleggia **	39965	64.10%
	Eric Girard	10857	17.40%
	Ryan Young	7997	12.80%
	Bradford Dean	1812	2.90%
	Gabriel Bernier	1681	2.70%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		15434	28.44%
		16312	30.06%
		18502	34.10%
		1693	3.12%
		2319	4.27%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Lac-Saint-Louis    (99.67% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Lachine    (0.33% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	15/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Scarpaleggia tokenly fell by 6 points last time; but that was on behalf of bottom-feeding by those below the big three. The only chink in the wall-of-Lib armour was a tie poll w/the NDP (yes, the NDP) in SADB.
	26/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
On voit mal comment le député sortant pourrait perdre cette circonscription très libérale de l'ouest de l'île de Montréal. Le résultat de la dernière élection parle de lui-même.
	05/05/21	JW 45.41.168.96
CPC has won over 80% consistently for multiple elections, cracking 85% last time with a new candidate.