Fosbrooke, Anna-Marie
	Kaikkonen, Reima
	Lawrence, Ashley Michelle
	Neudorf, Christopher
	Ruff, Alex
	Watson, Anne Marie
Incumbent:
	Alex Ruff

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			107679 106475 58058 45360 6114.05 km² 17.60/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Alex Ruff	26830	46.10%
	Michael Den Tandt	17485	30.10%
	Chris Stephen	6797	11.70%
	Danielle Valiquette	5114	8.80%
	Bill Townsend	1614	2.80%
	Daniel Little	321	0.60%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Larry Miller **	26297	46.70%
	Kimberley Love	21879	38.80%
	David McLaren	6270	11.10%
	Chris Albinati	1887	3.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		28744	56.30%
		9008	17.64%
		8203	16.07%
		5099	9.99%
Other		0	0.00%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Bill Walker *	26874	54.7%
	Karen Gventer	11837	24.09%
	Francesca Dobbyn	6041	12.3%
	Don B. Marshall	2927	5.96%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		11586	27.06%
		20359	47.55%
		6787	15.85%
		3696	8.63%
Other		388	0.91%

	21/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Alex Ruff is a first term mp so not well known in Ottawa but a long time conservative riding provincially and federally . would expect him to hold the riding .
	31/07/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
There was a lot of speculation on these boards in times past about this riding ‘GTA-izing’ and that it was only a matter of time before the Liberals overtook the Conservatives (absent a right-wing vote split). Never really came to pass. I think what they missed is that people fleeing the GTA for Owen Sound and other small Ontario cities are less Liberal-inclined than GTAers as a whole. Their migration doesn't so much change the electoral character of the outlying cities as further entrench the divide between those communities and the big city.
	04/07/21	seasaw 99.225.229.135
This will be a Conservative hold. The Liberals might make it interesting if the CPC doesn't run a good campaign, but at the end of the day, this'll go Conservative
	08/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Well, especially in these days of ‘economic refugees’, it isn't *quite* true that all of those fleeing Toronto are ‘fleeing the Liberals’--though you might find more of a divide *within* the ridings, where places like Owen Sound and Meaford stick out more relative to their surroundings and a perceived city-slicker invasion might well drive the longstanding locals even further to the right (particularly when the Libs are represented by some Laurentian-elite type like Michael Den Tandt in '19). Really; the most viable left-challenge to Con domination in BGOS would be through a certain ‘outsiderdom’, a la that brief flirtation w/Shane Jolley Green-ism during the noughts (or a la the UK Liberals in their peak Celtic fringe/beards-and-sandals years). Heck, even the Libs' reaching into upper 30s and turning the seat into a marginal in '15 pivoted upon a momentary touch of ‘Justin outsiderdom’--but Justin sure isn't the outside choice now. Of course, in the present climate alternate outsiderdoms a la PPC might be capable of chipping away the CPC vote (and it already was one of PPC's stronger Ontario seats in '19)