Election Prediction Project

2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-29 20:07:12

Constituency Profile


Collins, Laurel

Macdonald, Nikki


Laurel Collins

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



40.28 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Laurel Collins 2376533.20%
Racelle Kooy 2138329.90%
Nikki Macdonald 1595222.30%
Richard Caron 903812.60%
Alyson Culbert 9201.30%
Jordan Reichert 2210.30%
Robert Duncan 1130.20%
David Shebib 1110.20%
Keith Rosenberg 460.10%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Murray Rankin ** 3039742.30%
Jo-Ann Roberts 2366632.90%
Cheryl Thomas 848911.80%
John Rizzuti 848011.80%
Art Lowe 5390.70%
Jordan Reichert 2000.30%
Saul Andersen 1240.20%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

29/07/20 Laurence Putnam
The NDP flirted with disaster here last time, but they seem to have rebounded somewhat while the Green Party has gone into total disarray. NDP should hold this fine and more likely than not should be able to restore a solid lead.
As for the Liberals, or, perish the thought, Conservatives, this is the City that elects and re-elects the likes of Lisa Helps, who for all her woke leanings is actually on the right-wing of City Council compared to comrade Ben Isitt.
Charming little town to visit but politically, Victoria is nuts! Anyone with the slightest common sense here must feel like they're living in a lunatic asylum.
I think the NDP will hold on to this seat. The Greens tried hard in 2019 to flip it and still fell short. The only way I could see it going Green is if the Green Party leader decided to run here but,she has her heart set on Toronto Centre.

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