British Columbia Provincial Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction
West Kootenay-Boundary

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:
Candidates:
New Democratic Party
CONROY, Ed
Unity Party
MCLAREN, Mark
Green Party
PÉPÉ, Patricia
Liberal Party
SANTORI, Sandy
Marijuana Party
TAYLOR, Brian
Incumbent:
  Okanagan-Boundary
Bill Barisoff
  Okanagan East
John Weisbeck
  Rossland-Trail
Ed Conroy

Previous Result (redistribution):
673834.45%
964949.34%
18519.46%
PDA
7273.72%
4762.43%
Previous Result (old ridings):
Okanagan East
938238.37%
517621.17%
311612.74%
PDA
643226.30%
Okanagan-Boundary
701138.35%
698438.20%
281015.37%
PDA
7754.24%
Rossland-Trail
592334.80%
863550.74%
13668.03%
PDA
6603.88%
Census 1996:
Population:45970
Dev. from Quota:-2.49%
Area (km2):10087
Pop Density:4.56

Surrounding Ridings:
Kelowna-Lake Country
Kelowna-Lake Country
Nelson-Creston
Okanagan-Vernon
Penticton-Okanagan Valley

Submissions
Submit Information here

23/02/01 Bernard Schulmann Email:bernard.schulmann@lillonet.org
Sandi Santori should be able to defeat Ed Conroy of the NDP (if he runs, and this is not clear). The NDP is going to have a very big bleed of votes to the Greens here and the Reform party will not be a factor this time.
28/03/01 Email:
I think you must consider Colleen McCrory in this one. She is well known as a scrapper and is Deputy Leady of the Green Party. She'll be the one to beat.
Editor's Note: McCrory is not seeking a seat in this riding.
14/04/01 Julian West Email:
According to bc.ndp.ca, Conroy is seeking reelection. Under redistribution, this is the 13th best seat for the NDP in the province, and it should be considered too close to call.
23/04/01 Mark R. Email:markrobinson@hotmail.com
I have to disagree with my friend Julian on his prediction. I know that Julian has a doctorate degree in mathematics; maybe he could give us a rough formula for how the NDP will pick up support here. The way I see it, the people who voted Reform BC last election will vote Liberal, as well as disgruntled former NDP voters (there are many in this riding). As for the former PDA voters, pundits are saying over 75% of them will vote Liberal. I'd predict a Liberal win, although if the NDP go up in the polls provincially (higher than 25%), only then would I agree with Julian that this riding is too close to call.
10/05/01 Email:
No doubt about it, Sandy Santori is the candidate to win. Due to demographics he will not win all polls but, it will probably suprise us as even diehards will no longer tolerate being treated like passive patsies. The recent 'flurry' of Ed Conroy handouts is indicative of the desperation within the entire party.

Submit Information here
Back to Interior South Index
Back to BC 2001 Index
Last Updated 10 May 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster