Election Prediction Project
British Columbia Provincial Election 2009

Surrey-Newton

Prediction Changed
9:29 PM 10/02/2009
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
NDP
Bains, Harry
Liberal
Caleb, Ajay
Communist Party of BC
Gidora, George
Green Party
Loke, Trevor

Incumbent:
BAINS, Harry
Surrey-Newton
(Approx. 50% of polls)
Previous Prediction: 2005 / 2001

BRAR, Jagrup
Surrey-Panorama Ridge
(Approx. 50% of polls)
Previous Prediction: 2005 / 2001





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09 04 07 Surrey
206.108.31.35
This one will not even be close. Harry Bains will win no matter who the Liberals bring in. He beat Igali by over 3000 votes last election.
09 03 19 Nick J Boragina
198.96.35.219
While the NDP is likely to win, there is a chance here that Green star-candidate Trevor Loke could actually push the Liberals out of second spot.
09 02 10 TAN
76.69.86.9
Last election's prediction page is an interesting read: despite all manner of Igali hype appearing in the comments and scuttlebutt about ?internal polls,? the election day numbers make it clear that it was never really close. With a favourable redistribution and presumably no star candidate to run against, Bains should hold easily.



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