Election Prediction Project

Kelowna-Lake Country
British Columbia 2005

Update/Mise à jour:
7:16 PM 14/05/2005

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
2:48 PM 24/02/2005

Constituency Profile

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Green Party
Kevin Ade
Democratic Reform BC
Al Clarke
BC Liberal
Al Horning
John Pugsley
David Hunter Thomson

BC Liberals:
1996 Re-distribution:
Dev. from Quota:8.81%
Area (km2):1524
Pop Density:33.66

2001 Result:
(2001 Prediction)


1996 Result (redistributed):


Surrounding Ridings:
West Kootenay-Boundary

12 05 05 Vortigern
Having seen all the candidates in action at a recent public forum, Pugsley was far superior to Horning. It got to the point that Horning was being laughed at, while his own supporters were completely silent.
Horning is a weak candidate. Yes, he was an MP: a Mulroney era backbencher, which is hardly a claim to fame! Among other things, he voted for the GST. Furthermore, his crowning achievement was entertaining local business-people, on a visit to Ottawa, at a strip club in Hull....
Should he be elected, Horning will be nothing but a back-bencher, and we can expect him to remain thoroughly silent on issues of concern to local residents. At a public meeting held to oppose privatisation of the Coquihalla, during which both Joy MacPhail and representatives of the Kelowna Chamber of Commerce voiced their opposition to Liberal plans, speakers from all sides of the political spectrum were given a standing ovation. Al Horning was the only one in the room who failed to stand together with his fellow citizens, as they forced the Liberals to back down.
Sadly, the history of the area doesn't point to anything other than a Liberal win. If only voters actually saw the candidates in action, it might be a different story.... That said, expect this to be the closest contest among the Central Okanagan constituencies - I'd be surprised if the margin of victory was greater than 10%.
11 05 05 Coaster
Watch this one - after redistribution a lot of the moderate/progressive vote was in Rutland/Winfield/Oyama plus OUC is in this riding and the NDP candidate is the faculty president.
23-Feb-05 M. Lunn
Kelowna has never elected an NDP and don’t expect them to this time around. With many wealthy and older folks as well as the fact the cuts have not affected them seriously, this should be an easy liberal win. They will probably sweep the Okanagan Valley, but even if the NDP does win a riding in the Okanagan Valley as they did in 1991, this will not be it. Besides Al Horning is a well respected muncipal councillor this should certainly help. After having served in both the federal and municipal government, now he will get a chance to serve in the provincial government

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