Election Prediction Project

North Coast
British Columbia 2005

Update/Mise à jour:
10:57 AM 07/05/2005

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
2:51 PM 24/02/2005

Constituency Profile

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Green Party
Hondo Arendt
BC Liberal
Bill Belsey
Gary Earl Coons
David Johns

BC Liberals:
1996 Re-distribution:
Dev. from Quota:-32.80%
Area (km2):67179
Pop Density:0.47

2001 Result:
(2001 Prediction)


1996 Result (redistributed):


Surrounding Ridings:
Bulkley Valley-Stikine
Cariboo South
Powell River-Sunshine Coast

04 05 05
Green Party now has representation in this riding, with Hondo Arendt. Might steal a bit from the NDP.
23 04 05 J.M.
I submit that Gary Coons will pick up the North Coast Riding for the NDP. He has already covered the length and breadth of the constituency and is running a very vigorous campaign with very positive results.
21 04 05 JC
NDP LOCK, the NDP will win this one in a walk, this riding has the largest amount of Aboriginal People within it at around 40%, Liberals have no chance here at all.
02 04 05 Politics101
While I don't know enough about this riding to pick a winner at this time I wonder how Dan Miller's recent co-operation with the Liberals in the development of an economy for the North Coast region will help the NDP in any way. Dan is sort of a saint to many people in the region and i think his appointment will help the Liberals.
02 04 05 Crystal Ball
This will be close. It is a traditional NDP seat, no question. But interesting times are upon us. The longtime MLA and former Premier, Dan Miller, is heading a new provincial initiative on the economy. As Vaughn Palmer and Keith Baldrey said on CKNW the other day, Miller is on side with the Liberals' economic plan. Local MLA Bill Belsey is not invisible, as one wag suggested here, he has in fact delivered on substantial new investments in Prince Rupert - the Port, cruise ship facilities, new college. He is a very strong constituency MLA that has made frequent trips throughout his expansive riding. The NDP have nominated the former head of the BCTF local there. Definitely not a "Dan Miller NDPer". There's a story behind the story on this one and too early too call.
22-Feb-05 MisterK
A traditional NDP seat, which chose a federal New Democrat last June. Belsey hasn't ruffled anyone too much, but the fact that in 2001 the Libs took this by less than 900 votes, makes this a likely NDP pick-up on May 17.
23-Feb-05 ghoris
This is a traditional NDP seat that *barely* went Liberal in 2001. The Liberal incumbent is weak and largely invisible. This one's going back to the Dippers.
23-Feb-05 M. Lunn
If the NDP could get 64% in 1996, they will easily take this one back. I am in fact surprised they lost this one in the first place. The Liberals would be best to focus on the inland ridings like Skeena or Bulkley Valley-Stikine, which they might be able to pull off since they would have won both of those ridings in 1996 had it not be for the Reform Party who got over 20%in both of them.

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