Election Prediction Project
British Columbia Provincial Election 2009

Prince George-Mackenzie

Prediction Changed
10:02 PM 02/03/2009

Constituency Profile

Bell, Pat
Green Party
Creamore, Kevin
Lawrence, Tobias

Prince George North
(Approx. 60% of polls)
Previous Prediction: 2005 / 2001

BOND, Shirley
Prince George-Mount Robson
(Approx. 20% of polls)
Previous Prediction: 2005 / 2001

Prince George-Omineca
(Approx. 20% of polls)
Previous Prediction: 2005 / 2001

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09 04 28 Rick
The latest Angus Reid poll has the Liberals and the NDP statistically tied. When broken down regionally it has the NDP ahead of the liberals in the North. That's got to be bad news for Pat Bell.
09 04 14 Laddy
Forest industry is going through it's most difficult challenges ever experienced. Much has been done to mitigate the impact on the Industry and those that depend on it with the transtion to retirment program, $5000 tution and job opportunities program.In all they won't change everything but it's more than just promises and helps those that need the support today.The NDP don't have a plan that can fix the present economics that will revive the industry,their history of support for the forest sector when in government has been dismal.Pat Bell has involved all affected party's to develop an action plan for the short and long term. When people look at the exerience of Bell verses the NDP and their agenda which does little for those looking for employment and stability.
09 03 31 drewinpg
Pat Bell will be facing an uphill battle in this riding. He is the forestry minister representing the community hardest hit by the forestry downturns- Mackenzie. Combining the fact the Liberals' forestry policy leaves much to be desired by many up here and that the NDP has picked Tobias Lawrence- a strong candidate with an extensive background and connections in the forest industry- and this will be an NDP pick-up on May 12th. A close race, but a NDP gain nonetheless.
09 02 17 Chris
Pat Bell is a strong Minister with a high profile and he was elected with a pretty comfortable margin in 2005. Considering that Mackenzie is 60% of Bell's old riding plus 20% of Rustad's which is also quite strong, Bell should be easily re-elected on May 12.

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