Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Lakeland


Prediction Changed
2015-03-23 23:02:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

McFadzean, Robert George

Montgomery, Danielle

Parenteau, Garry

Stubbs, Shannon

Zaraska, Duane


Population/populations
(2011 census)

104616


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

3252778.98%
462311.23%
21015.10%
17394.22%
Other 1910.46%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Vegreville-Wainwright
   (123/241 polls, 52.79% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Leon Benoit
17221
2448
648
936
Other191


   Westlock-St. Paul
   (92/241 polls, 35.43% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Brian Storseth
10856
1689
1087
534


   Fort McMurray-Athabasca
   (26/241 polls, 11.78% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
David Yurdiga
4450
486
366
269



 


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15 09 29 A.S.
99.233.125.239
One of the last of the '93-era Reformers remaining has cashed in his chips--but here's one open seat that won't be changing allegiances any time soon. (And provincially, the NDP only registers as a Vegreville shoot-in from one of the Edmonton-area ridings.)
15 03 25 Dr Bear
174.89.199.19
Rural Alberta. No contest. CPC hold.
15 03 23 JW
99.232.118.35
While a selected few (very few, if any) ridings in Edmonton or even Calgary may end up being competitive at some point of the campaign, rural Alberta will continue to be solid Conservative territory. Remember, the last time rural Alberta returned a non-Conservative/PC/Reform/Alliance MP was 1968 (two that election, and one of them started with the Social Credits).



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