Langford-Juan de Fuca

	Burton, Scott
	Horgan, John
	Nelson, Willie
	Noel, Cathy
	Ralfs, Brendan
Incumbent:
	Juan de Fuca John Horgan

Reference:

Population (2014):			51782
Deviation from average:			-2.50%
Geographical Area:			2447 sq km
2013 Election Result
	Juan de Fuca
		John Horgan*
		12338	53.32%
		Kerrie Reay
		7120	30.77%
		Carlos Serra
		3682	15.91%
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election

	08/05/2017	Miles Lunn 174.7.110.151
Even with the Green surge on the Island, Horgan should easily hold his seat. The real question is will he become premier or remain leader of the opposition. Also if he loses does he stay on as MLA as Carole James and Adrian Dix have and hope to be a cabinet minister in some future NDP government or does he step down?
	06/05/2017	Saanich resident 96.54.234.130
Easy re-election for Horgan here.
	21/04/2017	South Islander 184.71.12.34
If Horgan behaves in the main televised debate like he did in the News 1130 debate, he could actually lose his seat. The South Island Green surge alone won't be enough to overcome the margins of a popular MLA and party leader, but combined with shameful displays of boorishness in front of the entire province, it just might.
	18/04/2017	Laurence Putnam 108.180.162.27
As far as I know, only Christy Clark and Ujjal Dosanjh have the dubious distinction of being party leaders (of main parties) not to win their seats on election day going back even into the 1960's. Even Skelly in '86, Johnston in '91 and Wilson & Weisgerber in '96 were able to win theirs. This has been a solid NDP riding for decades and no chance Horgan could lose it.
	17 03 07	South Islander 184.71.12.34
Horgan has managed to build a strong base of support in this naturally NDP riding. Only a complete implosion could cost him this district.
	17 03 13	joe s 70.67.88.239
John Horgan will win his seat. He will also lose the provincial election. He will also resign as B.C. NDP leader to join Carole James and Adrian Dix. David Eby will become B.C. NDP opposition leader. The NDP is dead right across the country. B.C. NDP voters listen to the song, FOOLS RUSH IN, by Ricky Nelson. B.C. Liberal voters listen to the song, WHY THROW IT ALL AWAY, by Andy Gibb. Some say that the NDP deserves another chance at government. These that say this are two faced because they would never take back a spouse from a previous divorce to re-create the nightmare.
	17 01 07	Jack Cox 24.212.227.58
Horgan will easily hold his own seat, whether he becomes Premier is a whole other question.