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Markham-Unionville
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-29 20:04:54
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Saroya, Bob


Incumbent:

Bob Saroya

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

123318
104693

39948
38557

84.34 km²
1462.20/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Bob Saroya ** 2613348.90%
Alan Ho 2048438.40%
Gregory Hines 35246.60%
Elvin Kao 23944.50%
Sarah Chung 8611.60%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Bob Saroya 2460549.40%
Bang-Gu Jiang 2159643.30%
Colleen Zimmerman 25285.10%
Elvin Kao 11102.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1802445.83%
650016.53%
1324933.69%
11823.01%
Other 3760.96%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Oak Ridges-Markham
   (52.42% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Markham-Unionville
   (47.58% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Billy Pang 2930562.43%
Amanda Yeung Collucci 845618.01%
Sylvie David 777816.57%
Deborah Moolman 9962.12%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1514243.88%
1408240.81%
34309.94%
13113.80%
Other 5461.58%


29/05/21 KXS
99.247.196.32
I think the Conservatives will hold on to this riding, albeit a narrower margin than 2019.
I don't think O'Toole is doing anything to piss off right-leaning Chinese-Canadian voters in Markham.
The Liberals actually fielded a strong candidate in the last election, local councillor Alan Ho. I don't think they will be fielding a strong candidate this time around.



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