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Ottawa-Vanier
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-05 13:08:15
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Fortier, Mona


Incumbent:

Mona Fortier

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

111508
110999

58098
52042

39.09 km²
2852.30/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Mona Fortier ** 3267951.20%
Stéphanie Mercier 1351621.20%
Joel E. Bernard 1111817.40%
Oriana Ngabirano 47967.50%
Paul Durst 10641.70%
Derek Miller 2290.40%
Joel Altman 2110.30%
Michelle Paquette 1150.20%
Daniel James McHugh 940.10%
Christian Legeais 590.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Mauril Bélanger ** 3647457.60%
Emilie Taman 1219419.20%
David Piccini 1210919.10%
Nira Dookeran 19473.10%
Coreen Corcoran 5030.80%
Christian Legeais 1280.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1571027.94%
1612628.68%
2141838.10%
28435.06%
Other 1220.22%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Ottawa-Vanier
   (93.41% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Ottawa-Orléans
   (6.59% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Nathalie Des Rosiers * 2055542.86%
Lyra Evans 1423229.68%
Fadi Nemr 1025221.38%
Sheilagh Mclean 19554.08%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

2339255.16%
976323.02%
556413.12%
33117.81%
Other 3770.89%


05/06/21 Libby Burgundy
198.91.168.152
While this part of Ottawa is becoming less of a francophone enclave, this is mostly because the public servants, students, and white-collar workers are displacing them -- all of which bodes well for the Liberals hanging onto one of their top-5 safest seats in the country for years to come.
05/05/21 JW
45.41.168.96
CPC won over 80% in most rural Aberta ridings last time.



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