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Scarborough Centre
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-22 10:57:27
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Zahid, Salma


Incumbent:

Salma Zahid

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

112603
108826

41775
40292

28.19 km²
3994.00/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Salma Zahid ** 2569555.20%
Irshad Chaudhry 1038722.30%
Faiz Kamal 545211.70%
John Cannis 25245.40%
Dordana Hakimzadah 13362.90%
Jeremiah Vijeyaratnam 11622.50%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Salma Zahid 2275350.50%
Roxanne James ** 1470532.70%
Alex Wilson 522711.60%
Katerina Androutsos 13843.10%
Lindsay Thompson 9602.10%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1284234.89%
1128630.66%
1173831.89%
9452.57%
Other 00.00%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Scarborough Centre
   (91.82% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Scarborough Southwest
   (8.18% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Christina Mitas 1526638.45%
Zeyd Bismilla 1324733.36%
Mazhar Shafiq 879122.14%
Matthew Dougherty 10402.62%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1864855.19%
709320.99%
696720.62%
10463.10%
Other 350.10%


28/07/20 A.S.
64.114.255.114
John Cannis running as an Independent in '19 (and w/ungrammatical ‘Return Back’ signage, to boot) explains why Roxanne James defeated him in '11 more than anything. Right now, everything beneath the Liberals is flotsam, and at this rate w/NDP-overtaking-CPC-for-2nd potential.
17/05/21 Jay
99.226.251.123
Scarborough Centre I predict will stay with the Liberals. The riding tends to go with the other Scarborough ridings. It has only voted Conservative once since 1993, even during when Harper was PM. In the election of 2011 this riding went conservative, when Roxanne James won the riding due to the vote split. They Liberals would have to be polling bad in Toronto for this switch, which I do not see happening at this time.



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