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Simcoe-Grey
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-29 20:06:07
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Dowdall, Terry


Incumbent:

Terry Dowdall

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

129944
116307

61293
51086

1863.34 km²
69.70/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Terry Dowdall 3281243.50%
Lorne Kenney 2392531.70%
Sherri Jackson 858911.40%
Ilona Matthews 846211.20%
Richard Sommer 14161.90%
Tony D'Angelo 3050.40%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Kellie Leitch ** 3061246.60%
Mike MacEachern 2535238.60%
David Matthews 63329.60%
JoAnne Fleming 29234.40%
Len Noordegraaf 5280.80%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2676548.44%
963117.43%
700012.67%
30595.54%
Other 880715.94%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Simcoe-Grey
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Jim Wilson * 3409455.93%
David Matthews 1344422.05%
Dan Hambly 878014.4%
Jesseca Perry 41926.88%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1429630.40%
2228847.39%
673914.33%
37077.88%


27/05/21 MF
65.92.13.223
With the shift of the affluent and educated toward the Liberals, Collingwood and the Blue Mountains have become the most reliably Liberal part of the riding (both John Tory and former Toronto mayor John Sewell have vacation homes in the area, reflecting its ‘establishmentarian’ character). The Conservatives however win Wasaga Beach (the Jersey Shore of Canada?) and the rural areas. They should be able to hold on unless the Conservative campaign really tanks.



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