Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Simcoe North
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-08 22:20:54
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Incumbent:

Bruce Stanton

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

111332
108672

58219
46789

1785.32 km²
62.40/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Bruce Stanton ** 2724143.40%
Gerry Hawes 1931030.80%
Angelique Belcourt 885014.10%
Valerie Powell 58829.40%
Stephen Makk 11541.80%
Chris Brown 3410.50%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Bruce Stanton ** 2483643.50%
Liz Riley 2271839.80%
Richard Banigan 603710.60%
Peter Stubbins 25434.50%
Jacob Kearey-Moreland 6181.10%
Scott Whittaker 3190.60%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2779553.88%
1054020.43%
993119.25%
30205.85%
Other 3000.58%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Simcoe North
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Jill Dunlop 2523646.92%
Elizabeth Van Houtte 1507828.03%
Gerry Marshall 952317.7%
Valerie Powell 36326.75%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1439432.18%
1955643.71%
722416.15%
35627.96%


07/05/21 Teddy Boragina
104.247.243.177
Nice to see the site back in action again; been submitting for over half my life now!
This is where I live, and it's almost certainly going to go blue again. O'Toole is explicitly trying to appeal to precisely the kind of conservative and Conservative who lives in this riding. As a riding, we are pro-mask, and moderate. By letting people know he does not support the radicals, O'Toole is telling people here that they have a safe choice in him. Given the riding's history, I see no reason why there would be a change. At least, not at the time of submission, in the spring of 2021.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster