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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

York-Simcoe


Prediction Changed
2021-06-30 17:45:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Alvarez-Bardales, Walter

Colavecchia, Franco

Fellman, Brent

Hollander, Alana

Ki, Spencer Yang

Mulroney, Caroline

Stewart, Julie

Tisdale, Zachary


Incumbent:
Caroline Mulroney

Population (2016):

104010
Population (2011):94616


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

CAROLINE MULRONEY
26,05057.26%
DAVE SZOLLOSY
10,65523.42%
LORALEA CARRUTHERS
6,18213.59%
ALEXANDRA S. ZALUCKY
2,1954.83%
IOAN SILVIU DRUMA-STRUGARIU
2590.57%
FRANCO COLAVECCHIA
1500.33%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

12,085 35.21%
13,768 40.11%
6,034 17.58%
2,132 6.21%
OTHERS 304 0.89%
Total Transposed 34,324
      Component Riding(s)

York-Simcoe
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Scot Davidson **
24,91846.30%
Cynthia Wesley-Esquimaux
14,40726.80%
Jessa McLean
7,62014.20%
Jonathan Arnold
4,6508.60%
Keith Komar
1,3112.40%
Michael Lotter
8751.60%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Peter Van Loan **
24,05850.20%
Shaun Tanaka
18,08337.80%
Sylvia Gerl
4,2558.90%
Mark Viitala
1,4833.10%


 

30/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
Long-time PC riding plus a senior minister for Doug Ford equals another PC win here on June 2.
28/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
Unlikely in any case that incumbent MPP and Minister Caroline Mulroney will lose here, but I think a better than expected showing for the PCs will ensure a strong victory.
05/04/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
The controversy over the Bradford Bypass proposal might lead to some electoral "Deflower Caroline Mulroney" wishful think; but there's a reason why she occupies the Transportation Ministry beat, and it's because in electoral practice, the controversy's "containable" or frameable in outside-agitator terms (fortunately or unfortunately). She was majority in '18 in every poll but seniors' polls and the Georgina Island reserve. And given the unpredictability and fickleness of ethnoburbia, she might be safer than her party is even in Markham-Unionville and Thornhill.
20/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Caroline Mulroney first elected here in 2018 a long time pc riding just north of the city. Unclear who the other candidates are . current mpp is well known and likely she holds the riding.
16/05/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
One of the safest Conservative ridings in Ontario. It will remain blue in 2022.



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