Mississauga-Malton

	Ahmed, Waseem
	Anand, Deepak
	Chan, Robert
	Gill, Aman
	Nguyen, Van

Incumbent:

		Deepak Anand
Population (2016):			118240
Population (2011):			118046
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
		DEEPAK ANAND
		14,712	39.12%
		NIKKI CLARKE
		12,351	32.84%
		AMRIT MANGAT *
		7,813	20.77%
		CAROLINE ROACH
		1,187	3.16%
		ERYN SYLVESTER
		674	1.79%
		MICHELLE CIUPKA
		657	1.75%
		ALEX VEZINA
		217	0.58%
2014 Election Result: (Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
		14,470	48.27%
		6,525	21.76%
		7,303	24.36%
		838	2.80%
	OTHERS	845	2.82%
	Total Transposed		29,981
Component Riding(s)
	Mississauga-Brampton South (48.46% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
	Bramalea-Gore-Malton (33.13% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
	Mississauga-Streetsville (18.42% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
2021 Federal Election Prediction
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Navdeep Bains **
		27,890	57.50%
		Tom Varughese
		12,528	25.80%
		Nikki Clarke
		6,103	12.60%
		Christina Porter
		1,251	2.60%
		Tahir Gora
		369	0.80%
		Prudence Buchanan
		306	0.60%
		Frank Chilelli
		90	0.20%
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Navdeep Bains
		26,165	59.10%
		Jagdish Grewal
		11,701	26.40%
		Dianne Douglas
		5,450	12.30%
		Heather Mercer
		737	1.70%
		Naresh Tharani
		203	0.50%

	28/05/2022	Tony Ducey 24.137.72.105
Should be a close race but I have the PC's edging out the Liberals and NDP here.
	22/05/2022	Abe 70.109.49.64
This is going to be a OLP/PC competition but I do believe that the NDP will get enough of the vote which will allow the PCs to win. It was the strongest Mississauga riding for the NDP in the last provincial election and I believe that enough people will vote for the NDP which will "split" the left vote for the PCs to win.
	19/05/2022	CD 66.234.34.46
Given historical patterns, even though PCs start with an edge the odds are good that the Liberals can flip many Mississauga ridings, including this one. Latest polling doesn't have the gap between PCs and Liberals large enough in the GTA to give the PCs space in places like Mississauga.
	27/04/22	LeftCoast 207.194.253.26
This seat should be a target for the NDP, but with the Liberals up in Peel and the 905 so much, I think they'll take this one as well.
	08/04/22	R.O. 24.146.13.249
Deepak Anand was first elected here in 2018 in an odd election where the ndp came second and liberal mpp Amrit Mangat came in third . despite the fact riding had been a very safe liberal riding in past years. this election new liberal candidate is Aman Gill and new ndp candidate is Waseem Ahmed. Still a reasonably strong incumbent who is a good fit for this diverse riding despite it not typically being a pc area. it also borders Fords own riding of Etobicoke north so that may have contributed to the pc growth here.
	06/04/22	A.S. 99.225.52.35
The Mississauga riding with the weakest Tory victory in '18 largely because it had the weakest Tory history and infrastructure--and despite an incumbent running, it also had the weakest Miss Grit result that year because thanks to the formerly-Jagmeet-represented Malton factor, it was the only Miss riding to be deliberately targeted as an NDP foothold, so the "strategic left" vote efficiently slid in that direction. (And then in '19, it was that NDP candidate's federal turn for strategic marginalization, rather than the coattail effect she might have expected.) It's still not precisely a "natural" Tory riding, even if the so-called "weak parts" in Malton benefit from being next door to Doug's riding; and now as then, if the NDP were truly serious about being a party of government (or taken seriously as such), they'd gun for this one again. Except that maybe even more so now than then, the Dippers and the Grits might be poised to simply seize things up and allow the now-incumbent-advantage Tories up the middle again. Ah, the dilemma of unresolved opposition splits...
	18/06/21	JW 45.41.168.96
Despite winning all six Mississauga seats, Ford did not elevate a single Mississauga MPP to his cabinet. (Understandably, they are all pretty average/unimpressive... but you figure there would be a token presence for the province's second largest city!) Mississauga ridings have almost consistently been the bellweather indicators both provincially and federally in the past couple decades. If Ford is back in as premier, most of the six Mississauga PC MPPs will be back in with him. If Ford is out as premier, none will buck the trend.