Election Prediction Project

West Vancouver-Capilano
British Columbia 2005

Update/Mise à jour:
8:34 AM 08/03/2005

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
3:05 PM 24/02/2005



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
(Links? See sponsorship details.)
Marijuana
Jodie Joanna Giesz-Ramsay
NDP
Terry Platt
BC Liberal
Ralph Sultan
Work Less
Ben West
Green Party
Lee White

Incumbent:
BC Liberals:
SULTAN, Ralph
1996 Re-distribution:
Population:48080
Dev. from Quota:1.98%
Area (km2):81
Pop Density:593.58

2001 Result:
(2001 Prediction)

72.69%
6.00%
13.70%
0.00%

1996 Result (redistributed):

14.83%
71.01%
5.65%
5.39%
2.00%

Surrounding Ridings:
North Vancouver-Lonsdale
North Vancouver-Seymour
Vancouver-Burrard
West Vancouver-Garibaldi



02 03 05 Bill Smith
Ralph Sultan will win. The NDP will likely hit double figures this time around but will they finish second, third or foruth? The Greens tend to make a strong showing on the North Shore. DRBC could also give the NDP a run for their money. Sultan will likely top out in the low-70s this time.
23-Feb-05 Laurence Putnam
Does a BC Lib prediction for West Van-Cap really require an explanation? Does it really? I believe the governing NDP placed fourth here in the last election. (Sultan, Gambioli, Dalton, Lovick) This is the land of 7-figure homes. Approx. 30% of kids here are privately schooled. Imported cars appear to outnumber the domestics. You get the idea. The NDP's hoping to crack 10% this time, up from their last election's 6%.
23-Feb-05 M. Lunn
Considering they won with over 70% in 1996, easy liberal win. Anything under 65% will be a disappointment for the liberals. If only one liberal MLA were to be re-elected, that would be Ralph Sultan.


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