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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Don Valley East


Prediction Changed
2017-12-22 17:07:59
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Coteau, Michael


Incumbent(s):
    Don Valley East
   Hon Michael Coteau

   (61.44% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
    Don Valley West
   Hon Kathleen O. Wynne

   (38.56% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):93007


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

18508 58.73%
7670 24.34%
3768 11.96%
1060 3.36%
OTHERS 507 1.61%
Total Transposed 31512

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Don Valley East

10198
4618
2413
709
Others164
Total Transposed18102

     Don Valley West

8309
3051
1355
351
Others343
Total Transposed13410


Federal Election Result (2015):

Yasmin Ratansi
2404857.80%
Maureen Harquail
1215529.20%
Khalid Ahmed
430710.40%
Laura Elizabeth Sanderson
10782.60%


 

21/12/2017 Gabbith
75.98.19.133
Liberals have been able to slay big conservative names in this riding before, and I do not think Denzil Minnan Wong will change much. It is even less safe than the previous iteration of the riding, gaining Flemingdon Park and losing the more Chinese, conservative parts north of the 401. Coteau is well liked and I think the seat is safe for him.
20/12/2017 Dr. Bear
75.119.248.107
Denzil Minnan Wong will make this race interesting, but unless the provincial Liberals pull off a 2011 style collapse, they're unlikely to be overtaken in DVE.
15/12/2017 seasaw
99.225.226.230
It doesn't matter who the PC's run here, they'll be hard pressed to win this riding, even if they win a majority. It has to be a major blue wave for the PC's to win here. Why ? Because the Liberals have only gotten less than 50% once in this riding and the PC's have gotten over 30% only twice and one of them was with a high profile cabinet minister, Dave Johnson. There are at least 10 other ridings that will go Tory before this one does
14/12/2017 ML
69.77.168.131
Toronto deputy mayor and local councillor Denzil Minnan Wong is seeking the PC nomination for this riding. If he gets the nod, he might be able to take away the riding from the high profile incumbent and cabinet minister Michael Couteau.



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