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Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:57:49
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Di Tullio, Alicia

Ialenti, Louis

Lattanzio, Patricia

Massey, Laurence

Ritacca, Daniele


Incumbent:

Patricia Lattanzio

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

113212
110649

46926
44313

20.24 km²
5592.80/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Patricia Lattanzio 2786661.30%
Ilario Maiolo 542311.90%
Dominique Moug 43519.60%
Hassan Guillet 30616.70%
Paulina Ayala 29646.50%
Alessandra Szilagyi 11832.60%
Tina Di Serio 5011.10%
Garnet Colly 850.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Nicola Di Iorio 2882664.70%
Rosannie Filato 661114.80%
Jean Philippe Fournier 495711.10%
Steeve Gendron 32047.20%
Melissa Miscione 8051.80%
Arezki Malek 1280.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

507413.63%
1202632.30%
1570242.17%
35919.64%
6581.77%
Other 1780.48%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel
   (94.83% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Ahuntsic
   (3.64% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Hochelaga
   (1.53% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


27/08/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Patricia Lattanzio was first elected in 2019 so a rookie mp but riding is a long time liberal riding in Montreal so likely to stay that way.
15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Montreal nuclear-Liberal mandates aren't what they used to be; this was their only 60%+ share this cycle--though also their biggest winning margin *anywhere*. (NB: the fact that the formerly-nominated Lib candidate was running as an independent helps explain the sawed-off opposition shares in '19. And a former Orange Crush MP finished *fifth*.)
09/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Comme beaucoup de circonscription à Montréal, celle-ci est rouge foncée, particulièrement dans les secteurs plus à l'est qui comportent des communautés ethniques bien implantées, ici les Italiens. Lattanzio n'aura aucun mal à se faire réélire.



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