1999 Ontario Provincial Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Liberal Party:
Ross Lamont
Progressive Conservative Party:
Helen Johns
New Democratic Party:
Tony McQuail
Family Coalition Party:
Linda Freiburger

Incumbent (old riding composition):
Huron (100%):
Helen Johns
Bruce (53%):
Barbara Fisher

Member of Parliament:
Paul Steckle

Surrounding Ridings:

Population: 94 731
Avg Household Income 45 032
Language (Home)
English 91 370
Portigueses 2 320
Submitted Information
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03/22/99 A.S. Email: adma@interlog.com
Two female PC backbenchers vying for one riding nomination; flip a coin. But if rural SW Ontario is leaning PC as a rule (and this is definitely "rural"; the largest urban centre, Port Elgin-Southampton, barely cracks 10 thousand), don't expect any different here. That is, not unless Murray Elston was hoping for a political comeback...
04/03/99 BDH Email:
It looks like Helen Johns will win the nomination battle with Barb Fisher. This is a good thing for the Tories as she comes from Huron County which is the comprises the majority of the riding. Ms. Johns is also one of the harder working MPPs at Queen's Park and should be able to hold on to this seat in a general election.
04/19/99 Email:
Helen Johns won the PC nomination on Saturday. Top notch candidate, good riding for the tories. Johns will undoubtedly be a Minister in 70 days!
04/28/99 Bryan Mitchell Email:
Not so fast. Johns should not be thinking about which seat at the cabinet table she would like. Ross Lamont has strong ties to this community and will be tough to beat. Ross knows the riding having worked for years on Murray Elston's campaigns and most of the Elston team is still their along with a large group of new Liberals. Keep an eye on this riding on election night.
04/29/99 Jack K. Scott Email:
I know Ross Lamont and he knows a lot of people in the Bruce. I have seen some of the people involved in the Liberal campaign and they are community leaders and well know all over the riding. The Johns campaign seems to be very low profile so far in comparison. This is going to be an fun race to watch. I believe that Ross Lamont is going to come out on top.
05/14/99 JM Email:
Huron-Bruce is going to be an interesting one. The amount of lawn signs that both the Liberals and PC is almost the same I'd say, so this could suggest a close race. Helen Johns is not the most congenial person and can appear to be quite confrontational at times, and most folks in Huron aren't really aggressive types. The tories have also caused a lot of anger in the area, with the poor funding that the Avon-Maitland school board has received under the new funding formula and the threat that schools may close, including the Seaforth High School.
05/25/99 DL Email:
Support for the Liberal candidate in the towns of Kincardine and Port Elgin is very strong. Many home owners have Liberal signs posted on them and Liberal signs outnumber NDP or PC signs.
05/25/99 DL Email: lockhart@primeline.net
On Huron Terrace 26 Liberal lawn signs appear compared with only 5 pc lawn signs. Many Tory lawn signs appear on road sides with only a few located on lawns.
05/31/99 lrs Email: skoog@golden.net
If Liberals had a chance of winning - McGuinty would have come late in campaign- seat has Liberal history but expect PC hold since most polls indicate rural voters going Tory
06/02/99 J Sutton Email:
Has had stong PC support, and I dont see it changing.

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Last Updated 2nd June 1999

© 1999 Milton Chan, University of Waterloo
This site is maintained by Milton Chan