Baertl, Tanya
	Hardie, Ken
	Ohana, Annie
	Poulin, Mike
	Purewal, Shinder
Incumbent:
	Ken Hardie

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			116958 109742 37630 35361 69.60 km² 1680.4/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Ken Hardie	22871	46.90%
	Nina Grewal **	14275	29.30%
	Garry Begg	10463	21.50%
	Richard Hosein	1154	2.40%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		16543	47.84%
		11435	33.07%
		5418	15.67%
		888	2.57%
Other		306	0.88%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Fleetwood-Port Kells    (92.37% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Surrey North    (7.63% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	17/10/19	Nick M. 96.53.115.139
Had a buddy receive final days over the top attack ad leaflets against the Conservative party in this riding. Not sure if any party officially authorized the leaflets, or if it was a rogue individual, but it tells me that momentum is in the favour of the CPC here. (The image I saw lacked any ‘authorized by the’ statement. But was coloured on glossy paper.) Seen it happen in my days in the trenches. Usually such over the top leaflet attacks are distributed on E-day. Seen it work in a nail biter to boot. In light of this attack ad leaflet, I am placing this riding as a CPC pick up.
	02/10/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
A mainstreet poll has liberal mp Ken Hardie and Shinder Purewal the new cpc candidate essentially tied here. Liberals, Conservatives deadlocked in Surrey riding: Mainstreet polls https://ipolitics.ca/2019/10/02/liberals-conservatives-deadlocked-in-surrey-riding-ndp-in-front-in-vancouver-east-mainstreet-polls/
	17/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Another '15 Liberal sideswipe in Surrey--and unlike Cloverdale-Langley City, its provincial profile leans more BCNDP than BCLib; which is why some viewed it as NDP-targetable in 2015 (before Justinmania blew all of that to smithereens), and why the Cons did worse despite running an incumbent. (NDP-shy voters must have thought: finally, a firm excuse *not* to vote for Nina Grewal. And now with probable vindication by her ex-MP husband running for Team Bernier next door.)
	12/08/20	seasaw 99.225.244.232
The Liberals did really well the last time around, but now they don't have the support that they had in the province. With just under 3 months left in the election, anything can happen.
	03/03/19	Sam 81.141.252.35
The scale of the victory here last time indicated how well the Liberals did in BC, taking nearly half the vote with the opposition split. They are definitely favourites with Ken Hardie running again, although the Conservatives have won it several times before and should not be discounted.