Diab, Lena Metlege
	Humphries, Eleanor
	Roberts, Jonathan Keith
	Schulthies, Kevin
	Scott, Julie
	Zurawski, Richard
Incumbent:
	Geoff Regan

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			96255 87275 42370 40438 227.35 km² 423.40/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Geoff Regan **	26885	49.50%
	Fred Shuman	10488	19.30%
	Jacob Wilson	10429	19.20%
	Richard Zurawski	6555	12.10%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Geoff Regan **	34377	68.60%
	Michael McGinnis	7837	15.60%
	Joanne Hussey	5894	11.80%
	Richard Henryk Zurawski	1971	3.90%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		12005	30.18%
		11317	28.45%
		14824	37.27%
		1632	4.10%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Halifax West    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	03/09/21	JH 173.212.113.20
Metledge Diab is a deeply problematic and tone deaf candidate - she has direct family ties to the Metledge slum housing racket in Halifax (including acting as their lawyer) - this family does more to exploit low income renters and exacerbate the housing crisis in HRM than most anyone. That said, Liberals are too much of a lock here to not win - was easily the safest or 2nd safest seat in the Maritimes. I would just expect Diab to win by a much narrower margin than Regan.
	27/08/21	Sam 92.40.140.116
Despite their loss, the NS Liberals had a lot to show for in this part of the province racking up good performances, even if PC candidates weren't always the best fit. The safest Liberal riding should stay that way.
	19/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
‘Best Liberal seat in NS’ was no longer good enough for a majority in '19; but it was good enough for a 30-point plurality vs a 3-way split for 2nd (the only Atlantic seat where only one party finished past 20%). So it's not like Geoff Regan's bequeathing vulnerability or anything.
	19/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
This riding has no incumbent as long time mp Geoff Regan has retired . not sure if that by itself is enough to create a race here . although if you’re the ndp it has to be one of those seats you start to wonder about if you start to have any momentum as it had been ndp in 97 and they posted some good results a few other elections. But still a riding with a long liberal tradition .
	03/08/21	Marco Ricci 174.114.237.78
With long-time Liberal MP Geoff Regan retiring, the Liberals are likely to lose some votes here. But the overall Liberal strength in the riding should be enough to allow provincial Liberal MLA Lena Metlege Diab to win the riding.
	27/07/21	Lolitha 161.184.30.62
Won by a really large margin in 2015 and 2019, it would take a very significant shakeup for the Liberals to lose here this time around. 99% Liberal probability on 338, 100% on Leantossup as of July 27.