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Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Westmount
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-05 13:05:26
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Garneau, Marc


Incumbent:

Marc Garneau

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

104974
104410

51957
47411

16.04 km²
6544.10/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Marc Garneau ** 2832356.30%
Franklin Gertler 775315.40%
Neil Drabkin 575911.40%
Robert Green 539710.70%
Jennifer Jet 23594.70%
André Valiquette 5651.10%
Jeffery A. Thomas 980.20%
Rachel Hoffman 670.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Marc Garneau ** 2975557.70%
James Hughes 1122921.80%
Richard Sagala 741414.40%
Melissa Kate Wheeler 15813.10%
Simon Quesnel 12822.50%
Rachel Hoffman 1810.40%
Lisa Julie Cahn 1510.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

787917.65%
1564835.06%
1707238.25%
18174.07%
19554.38%
Other 2710.61%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Westmount-Ville-Marie
   (55.64% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Lachine
   (43.21% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Outremont
   (1.15% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


28/05/21 MF
65.92.13.223
Westmount and NDG have been Liberal since 1962. And unlike the similar ‘Brahmin Liberal’ districts in Rosedale and St. Paul's, PCs/Red Tories were never really a factor in Westmount.
26/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
On voit mal comment le député sortant pourrait perdre cette circonscription très libérale de l'ouest de l'île de Montréal. Le résultat de la dernière élection parle de lui-même.
05/05/21 JW
45.41.168.96
For no specific discernible reason, Scarborough Guildwood has been the second most reliably Liberal seat in Ontario in recent history. Electing a Liberal MP in the 2011 collapse and a Liberal MPP in the most recent provincial election, it has consistently elected Liberal federal and provincial members since 2003. The only other riding in Ontario that can claim such consistency is Ottawa Vanier.



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