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Richmond-Arthabaska
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:57:39
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Bureau, Nataël

Delisle, Marjolaine

Desmarais, Alexandre

Fougeron, Nadine

Rayes, Alain

Richard, Louis

Scalzo, Diego


Incumbent:

Alain Rayes

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

107242
103897

50441
46758

3433.01 km²
31.20/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Alain Rayes ** 2655345.30%
Olivier Nol 1653928.20%
Marc Patry 886815.10%
Laura Horth-Lepage 31335.30%
Olivier Guérin 28644.90%
Jean Landry 6811.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Alain Rayes 1850531.60%
Marc Desmarais 1446324.70%
Myriam Beaulieu 1421324.20%
Olivier Nolin 1006817.20%
Laurier Busque 9841.70%
Antoine Dubois 3840.70%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1314524.66%
1731632.49%
37116.96%
1803333.83%
10982.06%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Richmond-Arthabaska
   (99.99% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


27/08/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Alain Reyes was first elected in 2015 in a close race and re elected by a larger margin in 2019. Riding has voted for pc’s bloc and conservatives in recent elections. Alain Reyes is a well known incumbent so likely he’ll hold the riding.
15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Rayes very quickly established himself as a star of the CPC QC caucus, and consolidated on that in '19. Though Rich-Arth can be very quirkily individual-based in its political inclinations (thus its staying Tory in '00,and Bloc in '11)--so once Rayes goes, expect anything. (As it stands, the southern Windsor end of the riding remained Bloc-leaning. And even Richmond remained Liberal-leaning.)
09/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Alain Rayes est solidement implanté dans sa circonscription. Une des personnalités médiatiques des Conservateurs au Québec, il a tout en main pour assurer sa présence et remporter la prochaine élection. D'autant que n'étant plus l'organisateur pour le Québec, il peut se rabattre sur sa circonscription.



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