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Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-16 23:28:33
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Hughes, Carol

Sagman, John


Incumbent:

Carol Hughes

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

79483
79801

47361
35658

93436.34 km²
0.90/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Carol Hughes ** 1688341.60%
Dave Williamson 1062526.20%
Heather Wilson 987924.30%
Max Chapman 21925.40%
Dave Delisle 8872.20%
Le Marquis De Marmalade 1250.30%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Carol Hughes ** 1651639.90%
Heather Wilson 1411134.10%
André Robichaud 982023.70%
Calvin John Orok 9272.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1273332.50%
1956049.93%
566214.45%
12083.08%
Other 110.03%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing
   (91.11% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Sault Ste. Marie
   (8.54% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Nickel Belt
   (0.35% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Michael Mantha * 1710558.56%
Jib Turner 714324.45%
Charles Fox 23658.1%
Tommy Lee 13664.68%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

650424.51%
458917.30%
1417153.41%
8283.12%
Other 4411.66%


06/06/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
The NDP was able to hold onto this riding during the 2015 Trudeau wave despite other Northern Ontario NDP ridings turned red. I suspect it will stay with Hughes and the NDP next election.
13/05/21 ME
45.72.200.7
A safe NDP seat ...according to 338



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