Election Prediction Project

Brampton South
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-07-29 13:43:14

Constituency Profile


Brar, Ramandeep

Craniotis, Nicholas

Sidhu, Sonia

Singh, Tejinder


Sonia Sidhu

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



46.73 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Sonia Sidhu ** 2408549.50%
Ramandeep Brar 1382828.40%
Mandeep Kaur 798516.40%
Karen Fraser 19264.00%
Rajwinder Ghuman 3540.70%
Wavey Mercer 2850.60%
Mitesh Joshi 1520.30%
Dagmar Sullivan 680.10%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Sonia Sidhu 2368152.10%
Kyle Seeback ** 1592935.00%
Amarjit Sangha 484310.70%
Shaun Hatton 10112.20%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 1860.52%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Brampton West
   (89.21% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Mississauga-Brampton South
   (10.79% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria 1565241.01%
Paramjit Gill 1291933.85%
Sukhwant Thethi 721218.89%
Lindsay Falt 14723.86%

2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

Other 12844.29%

05/09/21 Mizisuga
While not to the level I predicted, Jagmeet Singh increased the NDP's vote share in all Brampton ridings, despite it faltering nationally. He was an MPP in Brampton East and his leadership may have increased awareness of the New Democrats in regions with many South Asian residents, like Brampton.
The Liberals will carry all Brampton ridings at current polling numbers. However, I predict the NDP could place a strong second place in several Brampton ridings and pose a realistic threat to the Liberals going forward.
29/07/21 A.S.
Old Brampton's made this traditionally the ‘strongest’ Brampton seat for CPC; but '19 didn't see them do *too* much better here than in Centre + North--and even though it was the weakest of the lot for the NDP, it was their most ‘poll-efficient’ (they won a pair in a Sikh-heavy part of Fletcher's Creek South). Who knows, the Dippers could still wind up 5-for-5 in being ahead of the Cons in Brampton--though in a seat like this, it'd *really* be splitting the opposition on the Libs' behalf.

Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster