|The CPC riding association should have known of the party's rule that Lemmoux, having lost 2 elections in row, would not be able to run again. Yet they dawdled. Party central had no choice but to step in at the last moment.|
McArthur is a star candidate with an uphill struggle.
|The CPC just hand-picked an out-of-riding and out-of-province anglophone from the anglophone enclave of Hudson, QC...and who works in Toronto. In the only francophone majority riding in Ontario, this surely won't play well. While there wasn't much doubt to begin with, this will be an easy hold for the Liberals as a result.|
|While no longer giving the Saddam Hussein levels of support that the Liberal got with Don Boudria, GPR is the safest seat for them in rural Eastern Ontario. I suspect it will go for team red once again fairly easily.|
|The Liberals won by a comfortable margin here in 2019. In addition, Francis Drouin seems quite active in the constituency, and even voted against the Liberals in amending the carbon tax for a farming fuel exemption. Very likely a Liberal hold.|
|Those Franco-Ontarian ancestral Liberal allegiances just refuse to be steamrollered in GPR--indeed, they've probably been augmented by a ‘Greater Ottawa bedroom community’ element: Orleans East, so to speak. Still, this is as close as Southern Ontario comes to a remaining ‘rural farm Liberal’ riding; and it wouldn't be so were it not for Franco-Ontario. Though give Pierre Lemieux credit for having the gumption to stake out a distinct approach to Franco-Ontarian Conservativism, even if it'd require a Leslyn Lewis-type leadership juggernaut to make a lot of that pass...|