Election Prediction Project

Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-29 20:04:16

Constituency Profile


Bratina, Bob

Kuruc, Ned


Bob Bratina

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



67.40 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Bob Bratina ** 2011238.60%
Nick Milanovic 1493028.60%
Nikki Kaur 1313025.20%
Peter Ormond 29025.60%
Charles Crocker 10722.10%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Bob Bratina 1962239.00%
Wayne Marston ** 1646532.70%
Diane Bubanko 1271525.30%
Erin Davis 13052.60%
Bob Mann 1700.30%
Wendell Fields 550.10%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 10752.40%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Paul Miller * 2251851.15%
Akash Grewal 1268428.81%
Jennifer Stebbing 532012.09%
Brian Munroe 18844.28%

2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

Other 8692.21%

09/07/20 Chris N
The NDP have nominated their former candidate from 2019, labour lawyer Nick Milanovic. No word yet on the new Liberal candidate.
26/06/21 Hammer
I'm waiting for the NDP candidate before predicting anything. The LRT is a strange hill to die on -- billions of dollars in infrastructure (sewers, bridges, sidewalks, etc) and you oppose it because..... I couldn't care less if not a single LRT train makes a run, I'm happy to see the province and federal gov'ts spend money on infrastructure in the lower city (since we didn't vote for either gov't). Then again Bratina is from a bygone era. He may run for a mayor again on the same single issue of LRT. Hopefully he finds the pension sufficient and lets Hamilton move on. As for the election, with Bratina gone and demographics gnawing at the Hamilton Liberals, the NDP should be favoured.
27/05/21 Chris N
Incumbent Liberal MP and former Hamilton mayor Bob Bratina has said he won’t run again, due to his disagreement with the Trudeau government’s support for the Hamilton LRT. The NDP held the riding from 2006 to 2015, before the Liberals won during the 2015 Trudeau wave. I expect that the NDP has this riding high on the list of possible pick-ups next election.

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