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Kenora
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-24 14:14:39
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Melillo, Eric


Incumbent:

Eric Melillo

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

62556
55977

30454
23256

292684.84 km²
0.20/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Eric Melillo 944534.00%
Bob Nault ** 833530.00%
Rudy Turtle 792328.50%
Kirsi Ralko 15265.50%
Michael Di Pasquale 3881.40%
Kelvin Boucher-Chicago 1700.60%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Bob Nault 1091835.50%
Howard Hampton 1042033.90%
Greg Rickford ** 875128.50%
Ember C. McKillop 5011.60%
Kelvin Boucher-Chicago 1620.50%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1156747.05%
685527.88%
538121.89%
6362.59%
Other 1470.60%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Kenora
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Greg Rickford 974848.57%
Glen Archer 749337.33%
Karen Kejick 212310.58%
Ember Mckillop 7073.52%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

265714.89%
526629.51%
941052.73%
5132.87%


21/07/20 Thomas K
24.85.228.170
Very difficult to predict. The young Conservative candidate's extremely marginal win here ensures a tight race between all three parties. I would say there is a slight tilt for the Liberals here as of right now, but even the tiniest of changes could affect this riding, so it's far too early tell.
19/06/21 Stevo
164.177.56.217
This might well be the only seat in Ontario where the three parties are about evenly matched (plenty of seats like that in BC, but not in Ontario), assuming respectable candidates on all sides. Even in the Hamilton/Niagara region, where the parties all have sizeable bases, the distribution there almost never produces real 3-way races, unlike Kenora where every election cycle can be considered a 3-way tie up until the vote.
22/05/21
99.226.172.248
Could go NDP, or could go Conservative, but also could go Liberal. Point is, this one is a total toss-up. Hard to predict it until the votes start coming in.



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