Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Kitchener South-Hespeler
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:27:52
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Incumbent:

Marwan Tabbara

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

105309
97673

39635
38664

104.28 km²
1009.90/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Marwan Tabbara ** 2098640.20%
Alan Keeso 1748033.50%
Wasai Rahimi 694513.30%
David Weber 567110.90%
Joseph Todd 10051.90%
Matthew Correia 900.20%
Elaine Baetz 560.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Marwan Tabbara 2021542.30%
Marian Gagné 1754436.70%
Lorne Bruce 744015.60%
David Weber 17673.70%
Nathan Lajeunesse 7721.60%
Elaine Baetz 910.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2030651.20%
1021925.77%
750618.92%
15874.00%
Other 470.12%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Kitchener-Conestoga
   (64.94% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Cambridge
   (26.73% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Kitchener Centre
   (8.33% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Amy Fee 1651138.86%
Fitzroy Vanderpool 1574137.05%
Surekha Shenoy 633514.91%
David Weber 31987.53%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1240336.53%
1089432.08%
789523.25%
21246.26%
Other 6381.88%


07/06/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
I'd say the Liberals have a slight edge in this riding, but with no incumbent and a close result in 2019 and 2015, it's too early to say for sure.
11/05/21 Jeremus von Stoheim
99.251.36.14
This riding will become more and more comparable to a suburban gta riding as the rural areas turn urban here, so the liberals should hold this, unless they choose a very poor candidate



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster