Galante, Gregory J
	Robertson, Scott
	Rota, Anthony
	Trahan, Steven
Incumbent:
	Anthony Rota

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			88813 90996 43365 38224 13208.18 km² 6.70/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Anthony Rota **	19352	40.50%
	Jordy Carr	12984	27.20%
	Rob Boulet	9784	20.50%
	Alex Gomm	3111	6.50%
	Mark King	2496	5.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Anthony Rota	25357	51.90%
	Jay Aspin **	14325	29.30%
	Kathleen Jodouin	7936	16.20%
	Nicole Peltier	1257	2.60%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		15368	36.41%
		8919	21.13%
		15403	36.49%
		2519	5.97%
Other		0	0.00%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Nipissing-Timiskaming    (98.84% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Nickel Belt    (1.16% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Vic Fedeli *	17598	49.93%
	Henri Giroux	12994	36.87%
	Stephen Glass	2794	7.93%
	Kris Rivard	997	2.83%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		8382	26.78%
		13085	41.81%
		8057	25.74%
		1188	3.80%
Other		585	1.87%

	14/09/21	NJam101 216.167.228.27
Rota for sure. Now being the Speaker of the House of Commons he likely will get more votes than in 2019.
	05/09/21	Dr Bear 72.143.214.10
As a former (and possibly future) North Bay resident, I will warn everyone about getting too excited about the local municipal politicians jumping into federal (or provincial) politics. It happens all the time and the local city halls are a repository of failed and future MP/MPP hopefuls. Not saying that name recognition doesn’t make a splash, I’m just saying the splash is quite small. Especially if the candidate is from the rural townships (like the current CPC candidate) as opposed to North Bay itself. The city voters might recognize the name but feel no attachment to it. No, this riding by and large goes along with national trends but there is a strong favouring of its incumbents.
	02/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Would imagine Anthony Rota hold the riding now that he’s speaker of the house. Although I can’t help but take note that the race here is very different than 2019. Does not feature Mark King as a people’s party candidate and a relatively unknown one instead. Steven Trahan is the new cpc candidate and former municipal politician in the area . I think he’s one of the better conservative candidates they’ve ran here in recent elections. The ndp also have a new candidate Scott Robertson a city councillor who seems fairly motivated despite the riding having never been ndp.
	17/08/21	Gprimemr 76.68.64.192
A few days into the campaign Scott Robertson makes it seem like it his election to lose. Ive seen him going door to door twice already, and his lawn signs are winning 3:1. Conservative signs are barely existent. I still think Rota takes it, but not as easily as expected. Robertson and the NDP will be a close second.
	17/08/21	Temiskamingvoter 47.55.26.78
Easy win for Rota. Big NDP presence in north part of the riding. (provincially NDP and big Charlie Angus influence). If the Conservatives continue to stumble, the second place finisher may be the closest thing to an upset in this riding.
	09/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
A likely rubber stamp for Speaker Rota--still, his share fell by over 10 points in '19, likely through autopilot complacency (big deal, he still won). One interesting detail (and which might have fueled said complacency through anticipated vote-splitting) was North Bay councillor Mark King running for PPC after being rejected by the Cons--for all the talk of that ‘star candidacy’, he got less than 1/5 the vote of the Conservative candidate, and even *that* was by far the best People's result in Ontario (if you want proof of how Maxime Bernier bombed and couldn't care less, there it is). This time, maybe more to be watched is if a Covid-era PPC outpolls Mark King, and if the NDP leapfrogs the Cons for 2nd.
	08/08/21	northerner 107.179.225.84
The Rota steamroller will easily take this again, barring an Ignatieff style blowout. Only hope for the Conservatives here is after the next census re-distribution where possibly the north half of the seat gets snipped off and more added south and west of Trout Creek. Until then, this stays liberal.
	08/08/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
Don't underestimate the enduring Mike Harris conservatism in these parts, although it's unlikely to best the Liberals this time.
	07/08/21	Dr Bear 72.143.208.94
My former riding was the second closest race in 2011, and would have stayed Liberal (barely) in that disaster of an election. That said, it quickly returned to the federal Liberal fold and will stay there this time.
	06/08/21	J.F. Breton 207.253.54.66
Circonscription de tradition libérale, sauf en 2011 où les Conservateurs l'avaient emporté par une très courte marge de quelques voix. L'actuelle avance libérale dans les sondages nationaux laisse à penser qu'ils conserveront cette circonscription.
	06/08/21	Branden 70.71.182.169
Speaker of the House Anthony Rota's riding! He lost this seat by just 18 votes in the Liberal rout of 2011, and won it back by a large margin in 2015. Unless the Liberal fortunes drastically change during the course of the election, this seat should go Liberal.