Green, Kelly
	Janke, Wes
	McPherson, Heather
	Mohamed, Hibo
	Obasan, Tunde
	Stinson, Malcolm
Incumbent:
	Heather McPherson

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			106066 103183 53363 47968 81.82 km² 1296.30/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Heather McPherson	26823	47.30%
	Sam Lilly	21035	37.10%
	Eleanor Olszewski	6592	11.60%
	Michael Kalmanovitch	1152	2.00%
	Ian Cameron	941	1.70%
	Naomi Rankin	125	0.20%
	Dougal MacDonald	77	0.10%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Linda Duncan **	24446	44.00%
	Len Thom	17395	31.30%
	Eleanor Olszewski	11524	20.70%
	Jacob K. Binnema	1278	2.30%
	Malcolm Stinson	311	0.60%
	Ryan Bromsgrove	201	0.40%
	Donovan Eckstrom	133	0.20%
	Chris Jones	116	0.20%
	Andrew Schurman	107	0.20%
	Dougal MacDonald	93	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		20084	40.32%
		26752	53.71%
		1422	2.85%
		1165	2.34%
Other		384	0.77%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Edmonton-Strathcona    (98.06% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Edmonton East    (1.94% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	27/08/21	Sam 92.40.140.116
A bit of a strange comment about this being TCTC the point was surely that Conservative underperformance made their own seats vulnerable, and it follows that that same underperformance makes a gain here very unlikely (and as for the Liberals... Trudeau had much higher hopes here last time, hence why he campaigned here specifically as well as in Centre). I agree with what else was said though both here and Mill Woods should go to their respective incumbent parties again.
	25/08/21	Jerry Mandering 96.52.62.117
While I agree that this riding should be an NDP hold, I just wanted to point out that this one is actually more in play than other ridings in Alberta listed as TCTC such as Edmonton Griesbach and Millwoods or Calgary Centre, Confederation or Skyview. If those ridings are TCTC, then to be consistent this one also has to be TCTC as it is the second most-likely riding to flip, after Edmonton Center which IMO is the only riding in Alberta should actually be designated as TCTC. With the exception of Edmonton Center, all other Alberta ridings can be confidently predicted to go the same way they did in 2019.
	23/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
If it couldn't flip in a year of Scheer dominance when the NDP seemed a dead party walking in AltaSask, it won't flip now. Funny and paradoxical, though, how Stratchcona's ‘riding apart from the rest’ stature parallels that of Regina Wascana--as Laurentian/Brahmin as things get in the province. And even Wascana flipped in '19. But not Strathcona. (That's the NDP vs the Libs for you...I guess)
	22/08/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
When the Harper Conservatives won every seat in Alberta in 2006, many thought that would last for several elections. Turned out to be a one-election wonder as Linda Duncan defeated Rahim Jaffer here in 2008 and the seat has been strong NDP ever since. Part of this federal seat is Rachel Notley's provincial seat, and she earned 82% and 72% of the vote in 2015 and 2019 respectively. The NDP in Edm-Strathcona could probably withstand a Conservative wave today where it could not 15 years ago.
	17/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Likely to stay ndp , difficult for the conservatives to ever sweep alberta again now that it has 34 ridings and growing urban core in Edmonton and Calgary. Also feel its unlikely the ndp lose many of there existing seats.
	15/08/21	Nick M. 64.141.86.10
The wealthy left. Like the Annex in Toronto. Dominate Edmonton with unjust no parking signs in front of their low dense urban houses have a tendency to pick NDP.
	30/07/21	Lolitha 161.184.30.62
The NDP have firmly established themselves as the leading ‘progressive’ option in this riding, McPherson has been fairly visible as the only non-Con in Alberta, and the provincial NDP under local MLA Rachel Notley are polling well in Edmonton... safe NDP.
	11/05/21	VotreChoix 149.202.238.204
This one was NDP in 2011 and 2019 during massive Conservative waves in Alberta, it's definitely going to stay NDP this time.
	10/05/21	Chris N 24.36.32.209
When Linda Duncan retired in 2019, there was some speculation that this riding could flip, with many wondering if this was a ‘Duncan riding’ rather than an NDP riding. NDP candidate Heather McPherson ended up winning by 10% and I anticipate she will be the favourite this time too.