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Edmonton Strathcona
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:59:22
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



McPherson, Heather


Incumbent:

Heather McPherson

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

106066
103183

53363
47968

81.82 km²
1296.30/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Heather McPherson 2682347.30%
Sam Lilly 2103537.10%
Eleanor Olszewski 659211.60%
Michael Kalmanovitch 11522.00%
Ian Cameron 9411.70%
Naomi Rankin 1250.20%
Dougal MacDonald 770.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Linda Duncan ** 2444644.00%
Len Thom 1739531.30%
Eleanor Olszewski 1152420.70%
Jacob K. Binnema 12782.30%
Malcolm Stinson 3110.60%
Ryan Bromsgrove 2010.40%
Donovan Eckstrom 1330.20%
Chris Jones 1160.20%
Andrew Schurman 1070.20%
Dougal MacDonald 930.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2008440.32%
2675253.71%
14222.85%
11652.34%
Other 3840.77%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Edmonton-Strathcona
   (98.06% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Edmonton East
   (1.94% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


30/07/20 Lolitha
161.184.30.62
The NDP have firmly established themselves as the leading ‘progressive’ option in this riding, McPherson has been fairly visible as the only non-Con in Alberta, and the provincial NDP under local MLA Rachel Notley are polling well in Edmonton... safe NDP.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
This one was NDP in 2011 and 2019 during massive Conservative waves in Alberta, it's definitely going to stay NDP this time.
10/05/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
When Linda Duncan retired in 2019, there was some speculation that this riding could flip, with many wondering if this was a ‘Duncan riding’ rather than an NDP riding. NDP candidate Heather McPherson ended up winning by 10% and I anticipate she will be the favourite this time too.



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