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North Okanagan-Shuswap
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-06-09 23:58:10
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Arnold, Mel


Incumbent:

Mel Arnold

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

124605
121474

63972
53626

16173.61 km²
7.70/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Mel Arnold ** 3615448.80%
Cindy Derkaz 1678322.60%
Harwinder Sandhu 1135315.30%
Marc Reinarz 782810.60%
Kyle Delfing 20272.70%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Mel Arnold 2749039.30%
Cindy Derkaz 2094929.90%
Jacqui Gingras 1790725.60%
Chris George 36085.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

3151055.36%
1507526.48%
42517.47%
608110.68%
Other 40.01%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Okanagan-Shuswap
   (99.66% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Kootenay-Columbia
   (0.34% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


04/06/21 Libby Burgundy
198.91.168.152
The Conservatives held onto this seat even as the Liberals managed a regional breakthrough in 2015, and they got more than twice as many votes as the second-place party in 2019. While this seat isn't nearly as secure as some of its neighbours, absent compelling indications to the contrary, we should be assuming the trendline will continue.



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