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South Okanagan-West Kootenay
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-24 14:16:44
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Cannings, Richard

Konanz, Helena


Incumbent:

Richard Cannings

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

114695
112096

60250
52127

17699.23 km²
6.50/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Richard Cannings ** 2480936.40%
Helena Konanz 2401335.20%
Connie Denesiuk 1170517.20%
Tara Howse 56728.30%
Sean Taylor 16382.40%
Carolina Hopkins 3590.50%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Richard Cannings 2482337.30%
Marshall Neufeld 1987129.80%
Connie Denesiuk 1873228.10%
Samantha Troy 27924.20%
Brian Gray 3760.60%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2484744.77%
2188639.44%
39447.11%
45148.13%
Other 3080.55%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   British Columbia Southern Interior
   (58.4% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Okanagan-Coquihalla
   (39% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Kootenay-Columbia
   (2.6% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


21/07/20 Thomas K
24.85.228.170
Despite the BC NDP's minimal inroads here provincially in 2020, with the NDP polling well and the Conservatives polling poorly in BC, the NDP should be able to hold this.
22/05/21
99.226.172.248
This seat will likely be competitive, but, I'm still giving it to the NDP, even if it's by a razor thin margin like in 2019.



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