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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Wellington-Halton Hills


Prediction Changed
2021-06-30 17:45:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Arnott, Ted

Ballantyne, Diane

Kahro, Ryan

Kitras, Stephen

Patava, Ron

Takacs, Tom


Incumbent:
Ted Arnott

Population (2016):

120981
Population (2011):115885


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

TED ARNOTT *
31,65954.00%
DIANE BALLANTYNE
14,08724.03%
JON HURST
7,49212.78%
DAVE RODGERS
5,0668.64%
JADON PFEIFFER
3200.55%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

14,120 29.32%
22,450 46.61%
6,804 14.13%
3,550 7.37%
OTHERS 1,241 2.58%
Total Transposed 48,165
      Component Riding(s)

Wellington-Halton Hills
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Michael Chong **
33,04447.40%
Lesley Barron
19,77728.40%
Ralph Martin
8,85112.70%
Andrew Bascombe
6,4999.30%
Syl Carle
1,5092.20%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Michael Chong **
32,48250.90%
Don Trant
23,27936.50%
Anne Gajerski-Cauley
5,3218.30%
Brent Allan Bouteiller
2,5474.00%
Harvey Edward Anstey
1830.30%


 

30/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
3 guarantees in life: Death, Taxes and Ted Arnott winning this riding. He'll continue his 32 year career as MPP on June 2 with another election win.
29/05/2022 dtcaslick
74.12.184.254
Ted Arnott will sleep-walk through this election, back to Queens Park unless the world turns upside down on Thursday.
28/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
Ted Arnott will be easily re-elected in this safe PC seat.
20/04/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
The riding that seems to float above all others in its Tory moderation, both federally under Mike Chong and provincially under Ted Arnott--it somehow seems fitting, in a "John Bercow" way, that he'd wind up Speaker. Or if he loses ground, it'll be token Liberal repatriation at the Halton Hills end. But much like UK Speakers, all other major party contenders might as well stand down on his behalf...
08/03/22 AD
198.84.175.242
Very likely conservative hold. Not enough has changed in this area to expect otherwise, as far as I can tell, and Arnott has all the usual advantages of an incumbent.
07/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Ted Arnott has held this riding for a long time, he is also the speaker of the legislature. Tory friendly riding so likely to stay pc .
18/06/21 JW
45.41.168.96
For the most part, Southwestern Ontario (other than KW/Tricities) will be two way fight between PC and NDP. Rural SW has been realiable conservative territory both federally and provincially in the past 15 or so years. Speaker Arnott is well liked even by progressives, so I imagine his vote count would only go up.



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