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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Carleton


Prediction Changed
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Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Ghamari, Goldie

Zulinski, Cody


Incumbent:
Goldie Ghamari

Population (2016):

102918
Population (2011):89522


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

GOLDIE GHAMARI
25,79851.33%
COURTNEY POTTER
11,30822.50%
THERESA QADRI
9,76819.44%
GORDON KUBANEK
1,9853.95%
EVAN NIGHTINGALE
4130.82%
JAY TYSICK
3990.79%
JEAN-SERGE BRISSON
3860.77%
KEVIN HARRIS
1100.22%
MARK DICKSON
910.18%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

11,057 27.96%
20,990 53.09%
4,870 12.32%
2,315 5.85%
OTHERS 308 0.78%
Total Transposed 39,540
      Component Riding(s)

Nepean-Carleton
(59.16% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Carleton-Mississippi Mills
(40.81% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Ottawa South
(0.03% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Pierre Poilievre **
32,14746.30%
Chris Rodgers
26,51838.20%
Kevin Hua
6,4799.30%
Gordon Kubanek
3,4234.90%
Alain Musende
7921.10%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Pierre Poilievre
27,76246.90%
Chris Rodgers
25,91343.70%
Kc Larocque
3,6326.10%
Deborah Coyne
1,9323.30%


 

07/06/21 0 Cassius
192.95.205.113
Carleton is a predominantly urban Riding with growth coming from the urban parts of Ottawa. The growth however is exurbam and not suburban. The new residents moved to the country to get out of the city, not to bring the city with them. While the Conservatives MAY have lost some support in the suburbs, they are as strong as ever with rural and exurban voters. On a local level, Ghamari has done a good job communicating with the riding. She is visible at community events in all parts of the community, and has good support from community municipal politicians, service organizations, clubs and businesses. She has done a truly admirable job of somehow representing the Conservative brand without tainting herself with Ford's messes, and shares Skippy Polivier's supporters without wearing any of his sleaze or crazy. These are not easy accomplishments. She has also shown herself more than strong enough to stand up to stand up to Randy Hillier's few, but loud allies in the riding. The local organization is strong and should run a really good campain for her. She is probably one of the few candidates in this election who is probably better off with her picture on the signs. A great rookie MPP with a bright future.
06/06/21 2 Jeremus von Stroheim
99.251.36.14
One of the wealthiest riding in Ontario, and the safest for conservatives in Ottawa region. And while it may not be as conservative as it once was, the last time it went liberal still was in 1867. Easy conservative hold.



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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022
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