1999 Ontario Provincial Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Liberal Party:
Dwight Eastman
Progressive Conservative Party:
Hon. Norm Sterling MPP
New Democratic Party:
Shelia Sansome
Green Party:
Stuart Langstaff
Family Coalition Party:
Janne Campbell
Natural Law Party:
Angela Hea

Incumbent (old riding composition):
Carleton (57%):
Hon. Norman Sterling
Lanark-Renfrew (68%):
Leo Jordan

Member of Parliament:
Ian Murrey

Surrounding Ridings

Population: 106 794
Avg Household Income 56 391
Language (Home)
English 100 505
Submitted Information
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02/16/99 Email:
Very strong Tory riding and with Sterling running again, no way the opposing camps can make a credible representation.
04/15/99 A.S. Email: adma@interlog.com
One of the bare handful of seats that would've gone Tory in '87. From his old riding, Sterling's stuck with the most latently Liberal part (suburban Kanata); but that's counterbalanced by Tory-blue Lanark County. There'll be some opposition to the Harris-Sterling environmental record, and perhaps a bit of McGuinty momentum down Kanata way--but really, the PCs here look as sturdy as the stones of Perth.
05/12/99 T. Byers Email: tbyers@ionline.net
The NDP will win by a hair in a race that will surprise everyone. Sterling was once a formidable candidate but has faltered as an enviroment minister. Harris cutbacks won't help him either. Eastman is popular in West-Carleton but not well known in the rest of the riding. As the election wears on, health care will become the prevalent issue, Sansome's strong point being a nurse. Sterling and Eastman will go head to head, allowing Sansome to narrowly come up the middle.
05/21/99 Mike Email:
Nobody would be more surprised by an NDP win here than their candidate. Another riding where the Federal Liberal candidate polled less than the total of Tory plus Reform.
05/31/99 brian Email:
Sterling has taken quite a bit of flack from the public at the all candidates meetings held in Lanark County, and did not show up at the Televised debate in Ottawa. He is also being seen as a "parachute candidate" in much of Lanark, and even parts of West Carleton, since his old home riding region is not part of the new area. Eastman is a well respected municipal politician, and widely recognized in his area as well as the east part of Lanark county. Federal MP is also Liberal, so there is a possiblility of a swing in Lanark Carleton. Results could be close!

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Last Updated 31st May 1999

© 1999 Milton Chan, University of Waterloo
This site is maintained by Milton Chan