Lanark-Carleton

1999 Ontario Provincial Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction
Lanark-Carleton

Current Prediction:

Riding Profile:
Candidates:

Liberal Party:
	Dwight Eastman
Progressive Conservative Party:
	Hon. Norm Sterling MPP
New Democratic Party:
	Shelia Sansome
Green Party:
	Stuart Langstaff
Family Coalition Party:
	Janne Campbell
Natural Law Party:
	Angela Hea

Incumbent (old riding composition):

Carleton (57%):
	Hon. Norman Sterling
Lanark-Renfrew (68%):
	Leo Jordan

Member of Parliament:

Ian Murrey

Surrounding Ridings
Hastings-Frontenac-Lennox-Addington
Leeds-Grenville
Nepean-Carleton
Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke

Misc:

Population: 106 794

Avg Household Income 56 391

Language (Home)

English 100 505

Submitted Information Submit Information here

	02/16/99		Email:
Very strong Tory riding and with Sterling running again, no way the opposing camps can make a credible representation.
	04/15/99	A.S.	Email: adma@interlog.com
One of the bare handful of seats that would've gone Tory in '87. From his old riding, Sterling's stuck with the most latently Liberal part (suburban Kanata); but that's counterbalanced by Tory-blue Lanark County. There'll be some opposition to the Harris-Sterling environmental record, and perhaps a bit of McGuinty momentum down Kanata way--but really, the PCs here look as sturdy as the stones of Perth.
	05/12/99	T. Byers	Email: tbyers@ionline.net
The NDP will win by a hair in a race that will surprise everyone. Sterling was once a formidable candidate but has faltered as an enviroment minister. Harris cutbacks won't help him either. Eastman is popular in West-Carleton but not well known in the rest of the riding. As the election wears on, health care will become the prevalent issue, Sansome's strong point being a nurse. Sterling and Eastman will go head to head, allowing Sansome to narrowly come up the middle.
	05/21/99	Mike	Email:
Nobody would be more surprised by an NDP win here than their candidate. Another riding where the Federal Liberal candidate polled less than the total of Tory plus Reform.
	05/31/99	brian	Email:
Sterling has taken quite a bit of flack from the public at the all candidates meetings held in Lanark County, and did not show up at the Televised debate in Ottawa. He is also being seen as a "parachute candidate" in much of Lanark, and even parts of West Carleton, since his old home riding region is not part of the new area. Eastman is a well respected municipal politician, and widely recognized in his area as well as the east part of Lanark county. Federal MP is also Liberal, so there is a possiblility of a swing in Lanark Carleton. Results could be close!

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