Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2011

Port Moody-Westwood-Port Coquitlam

Prediction Changed
2009-08-25 16:09:00

Constituency Profile


Geddes, Paul

Ireland, Mark

Kim, Kevin

McGillivray, Stewart

Moore, James

Hon. James Moore

Previous Prediction/result

  • 2008 Prediction
  • 2006 Prediction
  • 2004 Prediction
  • 2000 Prediction
  • port-moody-coquitlam-port-coquitlam (170/238 Polls)
  • Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide


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    11 04 28 JodyP
    A non-contest. In 2008 Moore got a whopping 54.6% of the vote, and now as then weak opposition candidates + no scandals should ensure he repeats this feat. No one in the riding wanted to run for the Liberals, so they had to grab McGillivray from the UBC Young Liberals club.
    11 04 23 From the Left Coast
    Yawn. For the 1st 3 weeks, there wasn't even any signs for the other party in the election campaign. To say the Greens would win is wishful thinking; the libs or the NDP would have more of a chance. Tory-Hold
    11 04 15 Rebecca in Coqutilam
    The NDP and Liberals are not making a lot of effort here , I will be voting Green for the first time. I know a couple of friend that will be voting green as well. I cant see James Moore losing but I could see Green coming in 2nd with some momentum.
    11 04 14 burlivespipe
    Now this is a riding where poor options and late starts are ruining a potential entertaining battle. James Moore will shuffle through this unscathed, but undeservedly so. He has earned a rather aloof, self-important reputation after so many years in office. His performance as a cabinet minister, while avoiding dubious scandals, is pretty tepid. And he would be a formidable foe, however, the lack of a strong challenger is the real disappointment. The Liberals, who continually hope a certain local mayor would show some balls and get off the pot, got a late-minute candidate from UBC, the NdP have a non-entity, and the only question is how much will the greens gain because of it. What's more stunning is how Moore's been given this cakewalk by the lack of any true media attention on his sleepwalking routine -- not one local paper called him on his outright lie on the Cadman tape affair. This could be the biggest Con margin of victory west of chilliwack. Shame.
    11 04 14 Mike
    James Moore has this riding in the bag but its a race for second for the other parties. Once James Moore is gone this will be a whole new riding.
    11 04 14 binriso
    One of the only red Tories left in the caucus, James Moore should have no problem at all winning. May be winneable by the other parties if he didnt run though.
    11 03 30 M. Lunn
    A combination of the wealthy Westwood Plateau, middle class Coquitlam and Port Coquitlam, and more rural Belcarra and Anmore, this definitely leans Tory. With much of the Chinese and Korean vote swinging from the Liberals over to the Tories, this helped push their margins up in 2008. Also James Moore is very popular personally and potentially a future Tory leader. Of all the ridings west of the Pitt River and north of the Fraser River, this is the only one the Tories have a lock on.
    09 09 14 Big Bad Bill
    Moore will hold this riding. The Liberals tried to pull the ethnic vote by running an asian candidate in 04, that didn't work. Libertarian James Moore has already taken his beating over gay marriage from the socons here in 06. This accounted for his flat vote as over 2,300 socons plumped for a man running on an explicitly anti gay marriage program.
    In 06 they ran the former Mayor of Coquitlam, the largest municipality in the area. Despite the Mayor (Jon Kingsbury) being associated with the Reform Party and with the popular BC Liberals (very different from the feds) this didn't work. In 08 James Moore increased his vote by nearly 15% against a low profile Liberal Candidate.
    Barring a catastrophic gaffe by the Conservatives, James Moore will return once again to parliament.
    09 08 26 Tom B.
    The NDP and Liberals are not strong here at all. James Moore has won easily in the past and is the most popular politician around. He will get back in as long as he wants to. And if Harper goes Moore will get talked about as a candidate for top job
    09 08 24 A.L.
    Moore won with 55% of the vote - 15,000+ vote margin and it is a Minister. I understand he's very popular in the riding and area. He'll win easily and will be a leadership candidate in the future.

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