Ayas, Raymond
	El-Masri, Zahia
	Joly, Mélanie
	Laframboise, Kathy
	Lavarenne, Jean-Michel
	Parizeau, André
Incumbent:
	Mélanie Joly

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			117447 110473 54073 50908 21.72 km² 5407.1/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Mélanie Joly	26026	46.80%
	Maria Mourani **	16684	30.00%
	Nicolas Bourdon	7346	13.20%
	Wiliam Moughrabi	4051	7.30%
	Gilles Mercier	1175	2.10%
	Catherine Gascon-David	285	0.50%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		4166	8.57%
		14550	29.94%
		15127	31.13%
		13767	28.33%
		708	1.46%
Other		284	0.58%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Ahuntsic    (78.18% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Saint-Laurent-Cartierville    (21.82% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	17/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
Melanie Joly has under performed as a cabinet minister but she should still hold on here.
	02/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
As a New Democrat in 2015, Maria Mourani didn't do too badly--she held the party's 2011 share, and in some ways was probably as much of an electoral folk hero as Ruth-Ellen Brosseau. But that was then, this is now--and even provincially, the Liberals continue to hold all of this territory.
	22/06/19	seasaw 99.225.244.232
A prominent cabinet minister like Melanie Joly, a weak Bloc, the end of Quebec love affair with the NDP, a dead Conservative association in the riding, put them all together and you have a Liberal landslide
	03/03/19	Sam 109.148.239.158
This riding went notionally Liberal in 2011 and so would be likely Liberal anyway, but this is not a bad year for the Liberals in Montreal and it would be unsurprising if Melanie Joly increased her share of the vote.
	24/02/19	M. Lunn 174.7.100.252
Melanie Joly maybe an underperforming cabinet minister but only in a really bad election like during the adscam meltdown and 2011 would a riding like this be vulnerable so easy Liberal hold.